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Bullish Sentiment Returns to US Market, Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index Back in Positive Territory

2026.03.03 09:58:59

March 3rd — Coinglass data shows Coinbase’s Bitcoin Premium Index has flipped positive again today, hitting 0.0028%. Over the past week, the index has been in premium territory for 3 trading days. This signals improved buying sentiment in the U.S. market, following 40 consecutive days of negative premium. [BlockBeats Context: The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index measures the gap between Bitcoin’s price on Coinbase (a leading U.S. exchange) and the global market average. It’s a key indicator for tracking U.S. capital flows, institutional investment interest, and shifts in market sentiment.] A positive premium means Coinbase’s Bitcoin price exceeds the global average — typically signaling strong U.S. buying pressure, active entry of institutional/compliant funds, ample USD liquidity, and generally optimistic investor sentiment. A negative premium, by contrast, means Coinbase’s price is below the global average, reflecting heavy U.S. selling pressure, reduced risk appetite, heightened market risk aversion, or capital outflows.
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Analysis: Bitcoin Demand Internalizes as On-Chain Metrics Show Retail and Whale Distribution

April 4th: A CryptoQuant analysis finds the crypto market’s sentiment and fund flows are out of sync: the Fear & Greed Index is in extreme fear territory (8–14), but March ETF net inflows topped $1 billion; the Coinbase Premium Index remains negative, reflecting limited U.S. institutional participation. Geopolitical tensions (Iran conflict) have caused price swings, with the market adopting a wait-and-see stance—overall demand is slowing rather than seeing panic selling. Despite a ~47% drop from its October 2025 all-time high of $126,000 (far less than the 85%+ crashes in 2013 and 2017), analyst Zack Wainwright notes this signals Bitcoin’s market is maturing, with volatility steadily contracting. Potential catalysts include: Morgan Stanley’s greenlight for a low-fee Bitcoin ETF (granting access to $6.2 trillion overseen by 16,000 financial advisors) and the Strategy STRC preferred stock product’s ongoing monthly purchase of 44,000 BTC (which could add steady buying pressure). Sho

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Based Launches Launchpool and First Project Pull Fun

On April 4th, official sources confirm that Based — the cryptocurrency exchange and payment platform in Hyperliquid’s ecosystem — has launched its Launchpool program and its first associated project, Pull Fun. Token holders of Based can earn points via staking to join the Launchpool event. Reports indicate that Pull Fun is a gashapon platform for trading card games, featuring a real physical card inventory.

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Marex Launches Principal-Protected Binary Option Derivative Based on an Existing Predict Market Product

April 4 (Bloomberg) — Marex Group Plc, a global financial services platform, has issued what is believed to be the world’s first bond-like note tied to forecast market outcomes. Unlike traditional binary options contracts, the note’s terms specify: If Nvidia Corp. remains the world’s largest company by market capitalization one year from now, investors will receive a 7% coupon; if not, their principal will be fully repaid (with only potential interest lost, no full principal risk). The issuance totals approximately $10 million, sold to Swiss institutional clients and restricted to regions outside the U.S. due to regulatory constraints. Marex will dynamically hedge risks via prediction market platforms such as Kalshi. Per the report, this marks the latest Wall Street effort to “securitize” the power of prediction markets, providing a compliant, low-risk entry point for traditional large-scale funds.

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Whale Sets 10 Big Goals, Sets $67,000 Limit Order to Long BTC

On April 4th, crypto contract whale "First Set 10 Big Goals" (@Jason60704294) posted a long position on X with a limit price of $67,023.8 for Bitcoin.

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Stablecoin Sees Counter-trend Growth, Total Market Cap Up 0.43% Weekly to Hit Record High

April 4 Despite a crypto market downturn, stablecoins are still growing rapidly. Per DefiLlama data: - Total stablecoin market cap rose 0.43% over the past week, hitting a new all-time high at $317.255 billion. - USDT’s market dominance slid below 60% to its current 58.03%. - Sky Network’s stablecoin USDS saw its circulating market cap jump 9.57% last week to $8.924 billion, now the third-largest stablecoin by market cap.

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Iran has approved a ship carrying essential goods to pass through the Strait of Hormuz to Iran

April 4 — Iran has authorized a ship carrying essential goods to sail to an Iranian port via the Strait of Hormuz, according to Tasnim News Agency.

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