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Rumors Spread Online About the Death of Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei, Increasing the Likelihood of His Resignation to 72% by April

2026.02.28 22:53:25

Feb. 28 — Monitoring outlet Pentagon Pizza Watch reported unconfirmed claims that Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei was killed in an earlier attack. In the wake of this report, the likelihood of Khamenei stepping down by April has surged to 72% on prediction platform Polymarket.
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Ethereum Derivatives Market Sees Rare Net Buying for First Time Since 2023 Bear Market

April 4 – Cryptoquant analyst Darkfost says a major shift in Ethereum’s derivatives market structure has occurred, marking the first such change since the 2023 bear market. Darkfost notes that while ETH’s net trading volume has been negative for most of the period since 2023, it has now turned positive. (Note: Net trading volume measures whether buying or selling pressure is dominant in the derivatives order book.) Right now, the indicator signals dominant buying pressure, with $104 million in buying volume. Notably, even when ETH prices neared a new high earlier, the indicator still showed strong selling pressure—but that dynamic now seems to be shifting. Darkfost argues the positive buying pressure could help ETH form a stronger bottom. If this momentum holds and the spot market plus ETFs start backing the trend, ETH may be set to resume its uptrend.

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April 4 — Israel has resumed operations at its Leviathan natural gas field in the eastern Mediterranean, the country’s Ministry of Energy announced Thursday. The nation’s largest gas field was shut down for 32 days due to escalating regional tensions. The resumption is aimed at restoring natural gas exports to Egypt and Jordan. (CCTV International News)

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Shanghai, China Introduces "Shanghai Gaming Ten Measures": Support Esports Enterprises in Research and Application of AI, Blockchain, and More

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Bitcoin Whale Group: Average Daily Loss Exceeds $300 Million in Q1, Annual Loss Surpasses $30.9 Billion

April 4th — Glassnode data reveals Bitcoin’s “Sharks” (holders with 100–1,000 BTC) and “Whales” (1,000–10,000 BTC) posted average daily losses of roughly $188.5 million and $147.5 million, respectively, in Q1 2026 — totaling around $337 million daily. Year-to-date cumulative locked losses have hit $30.9 billion, approaching 2022 bear market levels. Analysts note current selling pressure stems from rising macro risks (inflation expectations, AI trading congestion, etc.) and waning market confidence, with large holders accelerating exits via stop-losses. Meanwhile, Long-Term Holders (LTH) continue to post an average daily loss of ~$200 million, signaling no clear “selling pressure exhaustion” yet. Institutions warn Bitcoin faces further downside risk amid multiple pressures, with some projecting a potential bottoming range of $40,000–$50,000.

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