Analysis: BTC Approaching "Historical Average Cost of Turnover" Line, If Broken, May Enter a Deep Bear Phase
February 23rd: Cryptocurrency analyst Murphy noted that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around $65,000, near the <10y_RP> indicator’s range. This metric—excluding the cost impact of most lost Bitcoin—is viewed as a “historical average cost” closer to its true value.
This range could act as a key bullish psychological and cost support level. A decisive break below it would likely signal the current downtrend will deepen into a bear market with high probability.
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The dark side of the Moon has already generated revenue equivalent to the full-year total for 2025
February 23 — Per The Paper, multiple insiders have confirmed that less than a month after the launch of Moon's Dark Side (Kimi)’s K2.5 large language model, Kimi’s cumulative revenue in nearly 20 days has already exceeded its projected 2025 full-year revenue.
The growth is driven primarily by a sharp surge in global paid users and API call volume, with overseas paid users expanding rapidly — Kimi’s overseas revenue has outpaced its domestic counterpart.
Previous reports noted that in a funding round led by Alibaba and Tencent Holdings, the AI startup Moon's Dark Side is seeking to raise its valuation to $10 billion. Sources added that existing investors including Alibaba, Tencent, and FountainVest Partners have committed over $700 million to the first tranche of the latest round.
This sets a record for the fastest time from founding to decacorn (valuation exceeding $10 billion) among Chinese domestic companies.
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US Stock Pre-market Crypto Tech Stocks Down Across the Board, BitMine Drops 3.33%
On February 23rd, Bitcoin briefly dipped below $65,000 earlier today, per Bitget market data.
In pre-market trading, shares of U.S. cryptocurrency-related firms declined across the board: BitMine dropped 3.33%, SharpLink 2.68%, Strategy 2.24%, Coinbase 1.81%, and Circle 1.27%.
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Binance will perform wallet maintenance on the Ethereum network at 14:00 on February 24th.
February 23 — According to official sources, Binance will conduct wallet maintenance for the Ethereum (ETH) network on February 24, 2026, at 2:00 PM GMT+8.
To facilitate this maintenance, Binance will suspend ETH deposits and withdrawals starting at 1:55 PM GMT+8 on February 24, 2026.
The maintenance is expected to last 1 hour, and deposit/withdrawal services will resume automatically once the maintenance is complete.
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Pump.fun has completed over $300 million in buybacks of the PUMP token.
On February 23, data from fees.pump.fun indicates Pump.fun spent 14,650 SOL (≈$1.25 million) the previous day to repurchase 601.6 million PUMP tokens.
Since launching its PUMP buyback program on July 15, roughly $301 million worth of PUMP has been repurchased, cutting the total circulating supply by 25.55%.
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Coinbase Bitcoin Premium has been negative for 39 days, currently standing at -0.0405%.
February 23 — Data from Coinglass shows Coinbase’s Bitcoin Premium Index has stayed in negative territory for 39 consecutive days, currently at -0.0405%. That’s roughly 30 days longer than the stretch of continuous negative premiums during the “1011 Crash.” Since 2026, the index has only posted a premium on two trading days.
The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index measures the gap between Bitcoin’s price on Coinbase and the global market average. A negative premium typically signals U.S. market selling pressure, reduced investor risk appetite, heightened risk aversion, or capital outflows.
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