VanEck Releases Bitcoin On-Chain Report: Hodler Net Position Change Slowdown, Hash Rate Reset Could Set Stage for Stronger Returns

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February 21st, VanEck released its Mid-February 2026 Bitcoin On-Chain Report. Key findings include: - **BTC Declines, Sentiment Weakens**: Bitcoin has dropped 29% over the past 30 days, pushing the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator closer to the "Fear" zone (it briefly entered "Greed" earlier). Leverage has reset, with open interest falling to levels last seen in September 2024. - **Mid-Term Holders Dominate, Selling Pressure Eases**: Realized selling remains concentrated among the 1-5 year holder cohort, though the distribution pace of holders with 1+ years of tenure has slowed notably over the past month. - **Miner Margins Pressured, Hash Rate Contracts**: The network’s hash rate has declined ~14% in the past 90 days, reflecting a tightening mining economy. Historically, similar scenarios have often signaled stronger subsequent Bitcoin returns.

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