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Benchmark maintains "Buy" rating on Metaplanet, but target price lowered by over 50%

2 hours ago

Benchmark on Tuesday maintained a “Buy” rating on Metaplanet but slashed its price target by more than half, citing the Tokyo-listed Bitcoin reserve firm’s latest financial report highlighting the “outlook and risks” of its aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy. Analyst Mark Palmer cut the price target to 1,100 yen from 2,400 yen, noting recent performance underscores the “hope and danger” of Metaplanet’s Bitcoin-focused financial strategy. The stock trades on the U.S. OTC market under ticker MTPLF, currently around $2.20—after briefly falling to ~$1.85 earlier this month, near its lowest level since the firm launched its Bitcoin purchase strategy in April 2024. Metaplanet reported a $619 million net loss for the fiscal year ended Dec. 31, driven primarily by unrealized non-cash valuation losses on its Bitcoin holdings from late-year price declines. Still, operating performance improved sharply: revenue and profit grew thanks to Bitcoin-related financial services. A key pillar of Benchmark’s investment thesis is Metaplanet’s expanding Bitcoin fee-generating business, which earns revenue from Bitcoin options and yield strategies. Analysts say this segment lets the company fund future BTC purchases via operating cash flow (not asset sales) by paying dividends on newly issued perpetual preferred shares—without selling core Bitcoin holdings. The firm added that investor demand for these preferred instruments will likely determine if Metaplanet can keep growing its Bitcoin reserves while managing dilution risk.
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Trump Administration Enters Prediction Market Legal Battle, CFTC Chairman States "We Will Not Stand Idly By"

On February 18, the Associated Press reported that the Trump administration has officially sided with prediction market operators Kalshi and Polymarket in their federal legal fight against state governments seeking to ban the platforms. Newly appointed U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair Michael Selig wrote in a Wall Street Journal op-ed that the CFTC "will no longer stand idly by" and let state governments undermine the agency’s exclusive jurisdiction over these markets. He added in a video message: "We’ll see you in court." Lawsuits in states including Nevada have alleged Kalshi and Polymarket are effectively unlicensed sports betting operations, violating state laws. Selig, however, argues prediction market operations are no different from other futures contracts and fall under federal regulation. Notably, former President Donald Trump’s son Donald Trump Jr. has invested in Polymarket through his venture capital firm and serves as a strategic advisor to K

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Elemental Royalty Sets Precedent: Investors Can Choose Tether Gold (XAUT) as Dividend Payment

**Elemental Royalty to Offer Dividends in Tether’s XAUT Gold Stablecoin** Colorado mining royalty firm Elemental Royalty announced Tuesday (Feb. 18) it will let investors receive dividends in Tether-issued gold stablecoin XAUT, per an Associated Press report. The industry views the move as the first practical use of tokenized gold in traditional corporate finance. Elemental plans to distribute a total 12 cents per share in dividends via multiple quarterly installments. Investors may still opt for traditional cash dividends, but CEO David Cole said, “Offering dividends in Tether Gold physical tokens further underscores Elemental’s standing as a forward-thinking investment company.” Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino noted the announcement marks a major milestone for the gold sector, showing how tokenized assets can unlock previously inaccessible new financial models. At press time, XAUT has a market capitalization of roughly $2.2 billion. Amid ongoing gold price increases, the token h

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US Crypto Stocks ended Tuesday with mixed results, as CRCL rose by 2.63% and GEMI plummeted by 12.9%.

February 18: Bitget market data shows U.S. stocks closed higher on Tuesday, with all three major indices posting gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.07%, the S&P 500 added 0.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.14%. Crypto-related stocks had mixed performance: - Coinbase (COIN): +1.03% - Circle (CRCL): +2.63% - MicroStrategy (MSTR): -3.89% - Gemini (GEMI): -12.9% - Bit Digital (BTBT): -2.84% - SharpLink Gaming (SBET): -2.77% - Bit Mining (BMNR): -3.86% - ETHZilla (ETHZ): +0.86% - ALT5 Sigma (ALTS): -4.03% - American Bitcoin (ABTC): -3.54% - Kindly MD (NAKA): -7.83% - Solana Co (HSDT): -8.6%

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The TRUMP team transferred 9.089 million TRUMP to the BitGo custody wallet.

On February 18, Onchain Lens monitoring indicates the TRUMP team’s allocation wallet transferred 9.089 million TRUMP tokens (valued at $31.45 million) to a BitGo custody wallet.

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Consensys Founder: Still Long-Term Bullish on Crypto Space, ETH Has Stronger Use Case Than BTC

February 18 — Consensys co-founder/CEO and Ethereum co-founder Joseph Lubin shared his take on the crypto market’s current state and future trajectory in a recent Bloomberg interview in Hong Kong. Lubin remains cautiously optimistic and forward-focused, stressing the digital asset economy is evolving driven by functional utility, not just speculation. On Bitcoin, Lubin said it shouldn’t be considered a traditional safe-haven asset right now. He framed the broader crypto space as still a “startup ecosystem,” arguing positioning Bitcoin as a secure store of value amid ongoing development hurdles is premature. By contrast, he noted ETH (Ethereum’s native token) has stronger functional demand. Lubin argued ETH’s utility for decentralized apps (dApps), smart contracts, and broader ecosystem activity gives it an edge in real-world adoption over Bitcoin’s core narrative. Lubin stressed Ethereum’s enduring role in the evolving financial infrastructure. He pointed out institutional

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JPMorgan Chase: Projected Massive Tax Refunds to Boost Bitcoin Price, $150 Billion Expected to Flow into the Market by End of March

On February 18, CNBC reported that Wells Fargo said some U.S. taxpayers may receive larger tax refunds this year than in prior years—funds that could flow into risky assets like stocks and Bitcoin. The bank cited two key drivers: last summer’s “Beautiful Act” includes provisions favorable to 2025 taxpayers, and the IRS did not update its withholding tables last year, so salaried workers are less likely to face unexpected tax bills from prior adjustments. In its latest analyst report, Wells Fargo noted these factors could push a potential $150 billion in market inflows by the end of March, when over 60% of tax refunds are expected to be distributed. The bank’s analysts added this expected liquidity injection would boost Bitcoin and retail-investor-favored stocks like Boeing and Robinhood. “We believe extra savings from tax refunds—especially for high-income consumers—will flow back into the stock market,” Wells Fargo analyst Ohsung Kwon said in the Sunday report. “Increased sav

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