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Replaying 23,316 distinct on-chain addresses, PolyBeats identified multiple "Insider Trading" accounts

1 hours ago

On February 14, PolyBeats—Rhythm BlockBeats’ subsidiary focused on prediction market research—officially released its *Russia-Ukraine War Prediction Market Analysis Report*. The report draws on 79 “Russia-Ukraine Occupation” series events from the Polymarket platform, analyzing over 23,316 independent on-chain addresses and 3.09 million transaction records. Using a dual model combining behavioral concentration and capital concentration screening, the team identified suspicious accounts with three key traits: highly concentrated transactions, abnormally stable win rates (80%–93%), and profitability that deviates sharply from typical retail investor patterns. Today’s prediction markets are no longer just betting tools—they’re a cutting-edge bridge linking blockchain data to news discovery. This report aims to reveal how prediction markets capture real geopolitical signals in advance via on-chain abnormal trading activity. PolyBeats has applied this methodology to real-time monitoring and validated it across multiple fields. The full report is available on the BlockBeats website and the official WeChat account “PolyBeats Truth Platform” (link: https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/w7lQciwanHV_rTp0zIHATg).
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Guo Ailun Denies Joining Silicon Valley Venture Capital Firm

**February 14 – Market rumors swirled that Gu Ailing would join Benchmark as a Senior Investment Manager. Around 12:00 AM Beijing time on February 14, Gu Ailing—currently in Italy for the Milan Winter Olympics—personally commented on a related post to debunk the claim: “This is not true.”** **At the same time, Benchmark partner Bill Gurley also clarified on social media: “Sorry, I was just joking. This is fake news.” Earlier, Gurley had publicly stated Gu Ailing would join Benchmark after the Winter Olympics.**

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BlockBeats has now fully integrated Polymarket prediction market data, becoming the world's first media platform to access prediction markets.

February 14 — BlockBeats has fully integrated Polymarket prediction market data into its PC website today. As the world’s first media platform to deeply embed prediction markets in news feeds, users can now view key metrics (including current event probability, trading volume, liquidity depth, and price trends) directly in real-time news, event reports, and special briefings—no platform switching needed to get a full picture of market consensus. The new “View Latest Data” feature also lets users compare historical event data with real-time updates, helping them track how market predictions evolve, review accuracy, and see how information transitions from “market signals” to “public facts” via data shifts. This update aims to boost the professionalism and forward-looking value of BlockBeats’ content. Prediction markets, as efficient info aggregation and price discovery tools, have already delivered sharper insights in tech launches, geopolitics, entertainment awards, and more—o

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Yesterday, the US Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net inflow of $15.1 million, while the Ethereum ETF experienced a net inflow of $10.2 million.

February 14th — Farside Investors monitoring shows yesterday’s net inflows into U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs totaled $15.1 million, with the following breakdown: - BlackRock IBIT: -$9.4M (outflows) - Fidelity FBTC: +$12M - VanEck HODL: +$1.9M - WisdomTree BTCW: +$3.6M - Grayscale Mini BTC: +$7M Separately, U.S. Ethereum spot ETFs saw net inflows of $10.2 million yesterday, with the breakdown: - BlackRock ETHA: -$9.3M (outflows) - Fidelity FETH: +$2M - VanEck ETHV: +$3M - Grayscale Mini ETH: +$14.5M

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A newly created address deposited 2 million U into Hyperliquid to leverage 2x long on Nvidia.

Per LookOnChain monitoring data on February 14th, a newly created address deposited 2 million USDC into HyperLiquid 11 hours ago to open a 2x long position on NVDA. The position includes 21,687 xyz:NVDA tokens, valued at $3.97 million.

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An address entered a long position 10 hours ago with an average price of $2055 for 2188 ETH, with a win rate of only 12.5% over the past six months.

February 14th On-chain data analyst @ai_9684xtpa reports that the wallet address starting with 0x806 added 2188.12 ETH (worth $4.497 million) to its position 10 hours ago as ETH rebounded—at an average cost of $2055.36 per ETH. Notably, the address has made 8 swing trades over the past six months, racking up cumulative losses of $1.261 million with a win rate of just 12.5%. However, it scored two successful “ambush trades” on ETH between April and August last year: buying at $1548.24, selling at $2371.98; then buying at $2406.75 and selling at $4300.36, netting $6.399 million in total profits.

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A certain whale address has sold 2503 PAXG in the past 3 weeks

Per Onchain Lens Monitoring data, as of February 14th, the whale address "samurai.eth" sold 601 PAXG in the past 24 hours, receiving 3 million USDT and 2.28 ETH (worth ~$4,680). Over the past three weeks, the address has offloaded a total of 2,503 PAXG, with an aggregate value of ~$12.89 million and an average selling price of $5,150 per token.

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