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JPMorgan Chase: Bullish on Cryptocurrency Market, Expects Explosive Growth by 2026

2 hours ago

On February 12, TheStreet reported that the cryptocurrency market has yet to recover from the October 11 crash. The total market capitalization of digital assets has fallen from $3.1 trillion a month ago to $2.3 trillion currently. Despite broad bearish sentiment in the market following the crash, JPMorgan remains bullish on the crypto space for 2026. The bank recently noted that institutional inflows and regulatory clarity are expected to solidify gains in the digital asset market. In a report, the JPMorgan analyst team led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou wrote: “We’re bullish on the 2026 crypto market—we expect further inflows into digital assets, but this round of growth will be driven more by institutional investors.” JPMorgan analysts currently peg Bitcoin’s production cost at roughly $77,000 per coin, which could form a new price equilibrium level after miner capitulation. If BTC trades below this threshold for an extended period, it may force some miners to exit the market. However, the bank’s analysis suggests this will also lower Bitcoin’s overall production cost, triggering a self-correcting mechanism.
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Analyst: Bitcoin May See Further Pullback, Better Entry Point if Trend Line is Broken

On February 12, analyst Brian Reynolds noted that Bitcoin’s recent decline has been relatively stable—not a panic sell-off—suggesting the price may test lower levels further before a strong buying opportunity emerges. While volatility has picked up, it remains below 2022–2023 levels. Given high market leverage, additional downside could trigger liquidations. Reynolds believes a better entry point will emerge if Bitcoin breaks below its trend line. Currently, Bitcoin trades at around $66,590, a sharp drop from its October 2023 high of $126,223.

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Lighter Protocol Adds Support for South Korean Stock Futures Trading

Feb 12 — Decentralized exchange Lighter has added support for Korean stock futures trading, covering Hyundai, Samsung, SK Hynix, and the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KRCOMP), with up to 10x leverage.

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「Trader Who Lost $3.2M Shorting BTC」 Doubles Down with $6.7M BTC Short Position

Feb. 12: LookOnChain monitoring data shows trader 0x4321—who previously lost $3.2 million shorting BTC—has re-entered the market after over two months of inactivity. He just placed a leveraged short position of 99 BTC (valued at $6.7 million), with a liquidation price of $76,202.53.

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In the past 24 hours, the entire network has seen $471 million in liquidations, with long positions hit the hardest

As of February 12, Coinglass data indicates total liquidations across the entire network reached $471 million over the past 24 hours—including $299 million in long liquidations and $172 million in short liquidations. Globally, 149,680 traders were liquidated in the same period, with the largest single liquidation occurring on Hyperliquid: a BTC-USD position valued at $11.86 million.

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Three Wallets HODLing $15.59M Worth of XAUT

February 12 — Per Onchain Lens data, multiple crypto whales are ramping up their holdings of gold-backed tokens. A new wallet (0xcF7) received 2,100 XAUT (valued at $10.58M) from Bitfinex. Additionally, two wallets (0x83F and 0xd95) linked to the same entity withdrew 986 PAXG (valued at $5.01M) from Binance.

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TD Securities: Shifts Fed Rate Cut Expectation from March to June, Still Expects Three Rate Cuts This Year

Nomura Securities has pushed back its forecast for the Federal Reserve’s first interest rate cut this year from March to June, while still projecting a total of 75 basis points of reductions in 2024 to bring the target rate to 3%. The cuts are expected in June, September, and December (25 basis points each). Led by Chief U.S. Macro Strategist Oscar Munoz, Nomura’s team noted the anticipated policy easing is not driven by worsening economic conditions, but rather inflation gradually moving toward the Fed’s target—allowing monetary policy to “normalize.” Improved employment outlooks will enable the Fed to shift its focus to its inflation mandate, the team added. The firm also forecasts U.S. 10-year Treasury yields will continue falling this year, with the benchmark yield seen ending 2024 at 3.75% (up from its prior forecast of 3.5%). (Source: FXStreet)

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