Non-Farm Payrolls Data Far Exceeds Expectations, Traders Trim Fed Rate Cut Bets

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U.S. short-term interest rate futures declined on February 11, following the release of the January non-farm payrolls (NFP) report. Traders now see only a 20% probability the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by April—down sharply from roughly 40% before the data was published. While they still bet on another Fed rate cut in June, the odds of the central bank holding rates steady that month have risen to nearly 40%, up from about 25% prior to the jobs report.

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「Whale」 liquidated 1800 ETH long position in the past hour, current liquidation price dropped to $1,886.59

**February 11th** Per HyperInsight monitoring (via its Telegram channel @HyperInsight), as the crypto market slid, the “Buddy” cut their 25x-leveraged ETH long position by 1,800 ETH in under an hour. The position was reduced to 500 ETH (valued at ~$869k), with a liquidation price of $1,886.59. Their account balance was just $43k, leading to a cumulative loss of $25.9 million.

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Bitfury Co-Founder: Recent Crypto Market 50% Dip a Buying Opportunity, Emphasizes Bitcoin Only Part of Diversified Portfolio

On February 11, Val Vavilov—Bitfury co-founder and early Bitcoin investor—characterized the recent 50% crypto market dip as a buying opportunity. While still bullish on Bitcoin, he emphasizes it’s only one component of his diversified investment portfolio, which now includes an AI-driven data center business. Vavilov did not disclose specific purchase amounts, but his strategy contrasts sharply with the heavy bets of other crypto industry heavyweights. For example, Michael Saylor has poured $7 billion into Bitcoin since the October market downturn. By balancing allocations across crypto and AI, Vavilov has maintained asset stability amid market fluctuations, with his net worth currently standing at around $1.1 billion.

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Ethereum Foundation's AI Lead proposed using "Stake-based Identity" for API calls, Vitalik agreed and stressed the use of ZK privacy payments and reputation mechanisms for innovation

February 11th — Davide Crapis, AI lead at the Ethereum Foundation, noted the internet has turned "access" into an identity-based model: every API call ties to your email, credit card, or wallet address. AI, he warned, will worsen this dynamic. His proposal? Swap identity for staking: a one-time deposit that lets users launch thousands of API calls while staying untraceable. Abuse the system, and your stake gets forfeited. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin agreed, calling this the right path to make Ethereum an AI haven. He stressed fundamental innovation using zero-knowledge (ZK) privacy payments and reputation systems—rather than just copying existing setups onto the blockchain.

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Hodler: Believes the Fed Still Has Adequate Room to Cut Rates

(Oriental Fortune Network) – February 11: White House Economic Council Chairman Hassett states the Federal Reserve still has ample room to cut interest rates.

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Cryptocurrency Meme Stocks Experience Widespread Selloff, Robinhood Down 12.84%

February 11 – Per Bitget market data: The S&P 500 reversed lower after earlier climbing as much as 0.7%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently down 0.18%, while the Nasdaq is off 0.4%. Crypto-related stocks are broadly lower, with key declines including: - Robinhood (HOOD): -12.84% - Coinbase (COIN): -7.02% - BitGo Holdings (BTGO): -5.26% - MicroStrategy (MSTR): -5.12% - Bullish (BLSH): -4.44% - BitMine Immersion (BMNR): -4.2%

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Fed's Schnieders: Can Reduce Reserve Requirements and Shrink Balance Sheet

Feb. 11 — Federal Reserve official Schmiede called for cutting reserve requirements and shrinking the central bank’s balance sheet. He also backed keeping rates at a level that imposes “some degree of restraint.” (IG)

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