Lookonchain APP

App Store
Feeds Articles

Preview: Market Focuses on Tonight's Unemployment Rate and Non-Farm Data, with Forecasts from 32 Institutions as Follows

2026.02.11 16:22:48

**U.S. January Unemployment Rate & NFP Forecasts From 32 Institutions Ahead of Tonight’s Release** On February 11, the U.S. January unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls (NFP) data are scheduled for release at 21:30 UTC+8 tonight. Below are forecasts from 32 institutions: ### **Unemployment Rate Forecasts** Nomura Securities: 4.3% Bank of Canada: 4.3% EFG Bank: 4.3% Barclays Bank: 4.3% UBS Group: 4.3% ING Bank: 4.4% ANZ Bank: 4.4% Danske Bank: 4.4% BNP Paribas: 4.4% Bank of America: 4.4% Capital Economics: 4.4% Deutsche Bank: 4.4% Citigroup: 4.4% Commerzbank: 4.4% Crédit Agricole: 4.4% Credit Suisse Group: 4.4% Goldman Sachs Group: 4.4% ING International: 4.4% JPMorgan Chase: 4.4% Lloyds Bank: 4.4% SMBC Nikko Securities: 4.4% Moody’s Analytics: 4.4% Oxford Economics: 4.4% Morgan Stanley: 4.4% Natixis: 4.4% Standard Chartered Bank: 4.4% TD Securities: 4.4% UBS: 4.4% Wells Fargo: 4.4% MUFG Bank: 4.5% Nomura Securities: 4.5% HSBC Holdings: 4.5% ### **Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Forecasts** Standard Chartered Bank: -10K EFG Bank: 0K Capital Economics: +30K Oxford Economics: +30K Bank of America: +40K Moody’s Analytics: +40K Goldman Sachs Group: +45K TD Securities: +45K ING Bank: +50K Barclays: +50K Morgan Stanley: +55K Danske Bank: +60K Credit Suisse Group: +60K Bank of Canada: +63K HSBC Holdings: +65K ANZ Bank: +70K Standard Bank: +70K JPMorgan Chase: +75K Deutsche Bank: +75K Commerzbank: +80K ING International: +80K BNP Paribas: +80K Crédit Agricole: +80K Wells Fargo: +80K Nomura Securities: +85K Lloyds Bank: +85K SMBC Nikko Securities: +90K UBS Group: +90K Pantheon Macroeconomics: +100K BNP Paribas: +105K Credit Suisse Group: +110K Citigroup: +135K (Source: Jin10)
Add to Favorites Download image Share x Copy link
Relevant content

The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 99.5%

As of April 4th, CME’s FedWatch Tool shows the probability the Federal Reserve will hike rates by 25 basis points at its April meeting stands at 0.5%, with the odds of holding rates steady at 99.5%.

6 hours ago

U.S. Judge Denies Rehearing of Ruling on Fed Chair Powell Probe

April 4: A U.S. judge has denied a rehearing of a ruling involving Fed Chair Powell’s probe. (CNBC)

6 hours ago

Institution: US Labor Market Still Fragile, with a 40% Chance of Entering an Economic Recession

April 4th — EY-Parthenon Senior Economist Lydia Boussour noted Wednesday that while U.S. March employment data showed a strong rebound, the labor market remains fragile. Against a backdrop of policy uncertainty, businesses are growing more cautious: hiring intentions are cooling, and firms are increasingly prioritizing protecting profit margins by boosting productivity rather than expanding headcount. “Looking ahead, we anticipate the U.S. labor market will be largely frozen in 2026 — marked by selective hiring, muted wage growth, and strategic workforce adjustments amid a historically tight labor supply environment.” Boussour projects job growth will run slightly below the breakeven level, pushing the unemployment rate to gradually rise to around 4.7%. “With the Middle East conflict ongoing, downside risks remain dominant — and there’s a 40% probability of a U.S. economic recession,” she added. (Source: FX678)

6 hours ago

The current mainstream CEX, DEX funding rate indicates a weakening bearish sentiment in the market

On April 4, data from Coinglass shows that as Bitcoin trades within a narrow range, current funding rates across major centralized (CEX) and decentralized (DEX) exchanges indicate a slight easing of bearish sentiment in the market. Specific funding rate details are available in the attached image. **BlockBeats Note**: Funding rates are fees set by crypto exchanges to keep perpetual contract prices aligned with underlying asset values. This mechanism facilitates fund transfers between long and short traders—exchanges do not collect the fee themselves. It adjusts the cost or profit of contract holders to maintain price parity between contracts and their underlying assets. A 0.01% funding rate acts as the baseline: rates above 0.01% signal generally bullish sentiment, while rates below 0.005% indicate a predominantly bearish outlook.

6 hours ago

In the past 24 hours, the entire network has seen $133 million in liquidations, with both longs and shorts getting liquidated.

On April 4th, per Coinglass data, total crypto liquidations across the network hit $133 million over the past 24 hours, with $77.83 million in long position liquidations and $54.89 million in short position liquidations.

6 hours ago

Federal Reserve's Daly: Fed Should Focus on Employment Rates, Not Jobs Data

**April 4th – Federal Reserve official Daly said the U.S. economy no longer needs to generate large numbers of jobs to keep the employment-population ratio steady. In this environment, monthly hiring figures no longer accurately reflect labor market health, and the unemployment rate is a more reliable measure.** **“Ratios and indicators like the employment-population ratio, unemployment rate, quit rate or hiring rate capture changes in workforce size, making them clearer reflections of labor market health,” she stated.** **Source: FX678**

6 hours ago

Hot feeds

A trader profits $448K by monitoring #Binance's new listings!

2024.12.13 17:37:29

A smart #AI coin trader made $17.6M on $GOAT, $ai16z, $Fartcoin,$arc.

2025.01.05 16:05:18

When Elon Musk tweeted about Moltbook, the meme coin MOLT experienced a short-term 30% price surge, hitting a new all-time high of $114 million.

2026.01.31 18:37:29

Last week, funds have flowed into #Bitcoin, #Ethereum, and #Hyperliquid.

2024.12.16 14:48:36

A $PEPE whale that had been dormant for 600 days transferred all 2.1T $PEPE($52M) to a new address.

2024.12.14 10:35:27

A sniper earned 2,277 $ETH ($8.3M) trading $SHIRO within 18 hours!

2024.12.03 23:09:08

 More

Hot Articles

Follow us

X

Follow

Telegram

Join