Lookonchain APP

App Store

Analyst: BTC Major Drop Possibly Due to Holding IBIT Hedging Fund Leveraged Options Being Liquidated, Large Scale May Be Revealed Soon

2 hours ago

**Feb 6: DeFi Dev Corp CIO/COO Parker White Takes to Social Media** Yesterday (Feb 5), Belade IBIT trading volume hit $10.7 billion—nearly double its prior all-time high. Option premiums reached ~$900 million, with both metrics setting new records. BTC and SOL declined in sync, while CeFi liquidations were lower. White suspects the volatility stemmed from a large IBIT position holder: likely one or more non-crypto hedge funds headquartered in Hong Kong, China. Data shows some funds hold extremely high IBIT positions (even as single-asset funds) to isolate margin risk. Today, silver plummeted and yen carry trade unwinds accelerated, ramping up market pressure and further hitting fund leverage positions. These funds may be trying to stem losses via high-leverage option trades, but losses keep mounting. Ultimate Bitcoin downside could wipe out their positions entirely. 13F filings are lagged—related position details won’t be public until mid-May—but the event’s massive scale makes long-term concealment unlikely.
Relevant content

Benson Sun: Bitcoin Plunges to Rare -5.65σ, Only Seen 4 Times in History

**Crypto Influencer & Ex-FTX Partner: Bitcoin’s -5.65σ Drop Nears “Industrial-Level Impossible”** On February 6, Benson Sun—crypto KOL and former FTX Community Partner—posted that Bitcoin (BTC) saw an extreme downswing this morning. Calculated over a 200-day lookback period, BTC’s decline hit **-5.65 standard deviations (σ)**. In manufacturing, the Six Sigma standard allows just 3.4 defects per million occurrences, defined as “almost impossible” in human industrial civilization. Yesterday’s BTC volatility was only 0.35σ away from this “industrial-level impossibility.” A -5.65σ event has a theoretical normal distribution probability of roughly 1 in 1 billion. While financial markets have “fat tails” (extreme events more likely than normal distribution predicts), BTC has only seen this level of volatility **4 times** since its trading launch in July 2010—accounting for ~0.07% of all trading days. Even during the deep bear markets of 2018 and 2022, no such rapid decline occurred

5 minutes ago

Trend Research has once again transferred 20,000 ETH to Binance, with the latest liquidation range being $1509 to $1800.

On February 6, per on-chain analyst Ai Auntie (@ai_9684xtpa), Trend Research continued transferring 20,000 ETH to Binance. Over the past 6 hours, the firm has allegedly offloaded 47,000 ETH to avoid liquidation—totaling $89.29 million—with the latest liquidation threshold ranging from $1,509 to $1,800.

5 minutes ago

A whale once went long on ASTER at an average price of $1.37, now experiencing nearly 9x unrealized loss on the position.

On February 6, HyperInsight monitoring data reveals that a whale address (0xa9c...) on Hyperliquid has held a long position in ASTER that’s been heavily underwater for nearly four months. The position was opened on October 15 last year at an average price of approximately $1.37. It currently has an unrealized loss of around $2.14 million—equivalent to an 866% loss, or nearly 9x the initial principal. The current position size is about $1.23 million, with a liquidation price of $0.31. Additionally, the address has recently been actively trading xyz:SILVER (a synthetic silver asset) and xyz:XYZ100 (a synthetic Nasdaq 100 index asset), chasing price swings. Its most recent close was a SILVER long position from seven days ago: the position size once peaked at $7.86 million, and it exited with a loss of roughly $1.67 million. After multiple losses, the address’s account balance has dwindled to approximately $0.54 million.

5 minutes ago

Placeholder Partner: Crypto Market Could See a Rebound, But 'Bloodbath' May Not Be Over

Chris Burniske, former crypto lead at Ark Invest and now a partner at Placeholder VC, said on Feb 6: “Watching closely, but not buying in yet. Expect a bounce, but fear this washout isn’t over yet.” Previously reported, on Jan 26, Burniske stated: “I haven’t started buying in yet—focusing on key support levels at $80k, $74k, $70k, $58k, and $50k and below. It’s important to note I’m not concerned about short-term market moves. If the price continues to bounce from current levels, I’ll hold my existing positions and gradually diversify my investments; if the market sees a significant drop, I’ll keep buying more BTC and a select few crypto assets.”

5 minutes ago

Meme Coin Buttcoin Market Cap Surges to $30 Million in Short Time, 24-hour Gain of 36%

On February 6th, per GMGN monitoring data, Solana meme coin Buttcoin surged again this morning. Its short-term market cap rebounded to $30 million, currently standing at $28.6 million, with a current price of roughly $0.0286. The token is up 36% over the past 24 hours, with trading volume totaling approximately $5.3 million. BlockBeats reminds users that meme coin trading is extremely volatile—largely driven by market sentiment and meme hype—with no underlying value or real-world use case. Investors should be aware of the risks.

5 minutes ago

Cyber.Fund co-founder Lomashuk sent 12,458 stETH and 2,566 ETH to Wintermute at the linked address

February 6 — Per blockchain analytics from LookOnChain, prominent ETH holder and staker Konstantin Lomashuk (co-founder of P2P.org and Cyber.Fund, @Lomashuk) appears to be offloading ETH. Two wallet addresses potentially linked to Lomashuk have transferred 12,458 stETH (roughly $23.76 million) and 2,566 ETH (roughly $5.38 million) to crypto market maker Wintermute.

5 minutes ago