ARK: Bitcoin, DeFi, and Tokenization Will Lead Crypto's Next Phase, $28 Trillion Digital Asset Market Cap by 2030

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On January 22nd, ARK Invest highlighted in its latest "Big Ideas 2026" report that Bitcoin, decentralized finance (DeFi), and real-world asset (RWA) tokenization are shifting from a "crypto narrative" to functional components of global capital markets—positioned to lead the industry’s development trajectory post-2026. The report projects the total digital asset market cap could reach $28 trillion by 2030, with Bitcoin accounting for roughly 70% (or $16 trillion). Key drivers include sustained inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and corporations integrating Bitcoin into their balance sheets. Currently, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs and public companies hold around 12% of the total Bitcoin supply—up sharply from early 2025. ARK also notes DeFi’s value is migrating from underlying networks to the application layer. In 2025, DeFi apps generated a combined $3.8 billion in revenue, with some ultra-lightweight protocols matching or outperforming traditional fintech firms in human and asset management efficiency. For tokenization, ARK forecasts RWA tokenization will hit $11 trillion by 2030. By 2025, the scale of related assets had grown to ~$190 billion, fueled by on-chain adoption of assets like U.S. Treasuries and gold. Multiple interviewees emphasized regulatory clarity as a make-or-break variable. Analysts argue that while technology and business models mature rapidly, the rollout of custody, compliance, and investor protection rules will determine whether Bitcoin, DeFi, and tokenized assets achieve true large-scale mainstream adoption.

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