Probability of OpenSea Token's FDV Dropping Below $10 Billion After First Day of Trading

**January 14 –** Per data from HyperInsight monitoring (Telegram: https://t.me/HyperInsight), the wallet address starting with 0x17d has closed out its entire long position of ~1.76 million ASTER tokens in the past hour. The position’s size equates to roughly $1.35 million, netting the address an approximate profit of $147,000. The address made its first-ever transaction yesterday: it transferred ~$304,000 to Hyperliquid, then opened a 5x leveraged long position on ASTER at roughly $0.687 per token. Today, ASTER’s price rose on positive news, and the address closed the position at ~$0.77 per token—delivering a 40% return on investment (ROI).

Jan. 14 – Per Bitget market data, Metaplanet, the Japanese Bitcoin custodian firm traded under ticker DAT, closed at 605 Japanese yen today. The daily gain reached 77 yen, representing a 14.58% surge.

As of January 14, official data from Pacifica shows that since its Pacifica Points program launched, the platform has drawn numerous traders to open positions—both to chase market gains and accumulate points. A high-frequency trading address (4TYE) began ramping up trading volume to earn points on November 25. With an initial outlay of ~$300,000, it generated $1.2 billion in trading volume, netted nearly $650,000 in profits (doubling its initial investment), and now tops the monthly profit leaderboard. Analysis of community traders who’ve already claimed points suggests this address could accumulate ~47,000 points from its trading volume. If the points program runs for another 22 weeks and the airdrop allocation is 25%, the address is projected to receive ~53,000 tokens. Users can now leverage Coinbob Pacifica (@CoinbobPAC_bot)—an on-chain data analysis and copy-trading tool built exclusively for Pacifica—to mirror high-frequency traders’ strategies, earn points, and position

**Bitcoin OG Whale On-Chain Activity, Selling Pressure Drop Sharply** CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost noted on Jan. 14 that on-chain activity for Bitcoin “OG whales” — holders who haven’t touched their BTC in 5+ years — has plummeted. Notably, this cycle offered OG whales an almost perfect selling window: big institutional capital flowed in, and even government-linked buyers joined as the cycle unfolded. Still, their selling at cycle highs has been tapering off. The 90-day moving average of sending TXOs (STXOs) for these whales peaked at ~2,300 BTC recently but has since dropped sharply, now hovering around just 1,000 BTC. This signals their sell pace has slowed, with heavy selling pressure easing significantly. The current dominant trend leans more toward holding than selling.

January 14th — Per HyperInsight monitoring (via t.me/HyperInsight), a whale address starting with 0x50b has boosted its ETH long position through four back-to-back trades over the past 2 hours, adding a total of roughly 7,708.58 ETH. The current size of its 14x-leveraged ETH long position is valued at approximately $25.648 million, with an average entry price of around $3,333.64. With the current mark price at roughly $3,327.3, the position is sitting on a floating loss of about $49,700 (-2.71%), and its liquidation price is approximately $2,770.53. Notably, this address previously briefly held the largest on-chain BTC short position.

On January 14, QCP released its daily market analysis, noting: U.S. employment remains solid, inflation stable. Risk sentiment has fully rebounded, with gains across risk assets—stocks, precious metals, the U.S. dollar, and crypto. While news circulates about Venezuela, Iran, and U.S. involvement, markets stay largely calm. Crude oil carries a geopolitical risk premium, but the broader trend remains resilient. More practically, investors are framing current conditions through the U.S. midterm elections: Markets expect Trump to lean on liquidity and a stronger U.S. stance to lift performance, support U.S. asset outperformance, and drive global “risk-on” mood. After multiple failed attempts to break above, Bitcoin has finally topped $95,000. If precious metals keep benefiting from currency devaluation trades, Bitcoin’s relative value edge could draw funds back to digital assets again. Key risks still loom: the upcoming U.S. Supreme Court tariff ruling and further escalation in Ve