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On-Chain Night Watch: Whales Holding Steady, Temporary Truce in Bulls vs. Bears

2 hours ago

December 31 – Per monitoring from HyperInsight (Telegram: @HyperInsight), below are key whale rebalancing trends between 10:00 AM and 8:00 PM today: ### Bullish Camp - Huang Licheng (aka “Brother Ma Ji”) reduced his 25x-leveraged ETH long position to 8,500 coins, with an unrealized profit of $119,000. - The “Die-Hard Bull” whale (0x10a3c) closed long positions on ETH, SOL, UNI, and PUMP, then opened new long positions on BTC and FARTCOIN—incurring a floating loss of $153,000. ### Bearish Camp - The “Ultimate Bear” whale (0x5d2f4) trimmed its LIT short position, lowering its average entry price to $2.8; it still holds a 20x-leveraged short of 499.9 BTC (~$44.2 million). - The “Shanzhai Short Leader” boosted its LIT short position to $6.26 million, now the largest on-chain LIT short position. - The “Long-to-Short” whale shorted $70.72 million worth of BTC (20x leverage) and opened a $16.71 million ETH long hedge; total unrealized loss: $240,000.
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An entity received a $26 million LIT airdrop and has already sold $7.18 million worth of LIT.

On December 31st, MLM Monitor reported that an entity deposited roughly 5 million USDC into LLP across 5 wallets around 9 months ago, receiving 9,999,999.60 LIT tokens (valued at ~$26 million) via an airdrop. Additionally, LLP generated returns yielding approximately $1–2 million in extra gains. This airdrop accounts for ~1% of LIT’s total supply and ~4% of its circulating supply. Since TGE, the entity has sold 2,760,232.88 LIT tokens (worth ~$7.18 million).

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Ethereum's historical average January return is 20.63%, Bitcoin's January average return is 3.81%

Data from Coinglass shows: - Ethereum: Since 2016, its average January return is +20.63%, with a median of +31.92%. Over the past 9 years, the second-largest crypto has posted 5 January gains and 4 losses. - Bitcoin: The leading cryptocurrency’s average January return since 2013 stands at +3.81%, with a median of +0.62%. In the last 13 years, January has ended green 7 times and red 6 times for Bitcoin.

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Trump Media & Technology Group pre-market trading up 5.8% after previously announcing plans to distribute digital tokens to shareholders

**December 31st** Donald Trump Media Technology Group (DJT.O) jumped 5.8% in pre-market trading after the company unveiled plans to distribute digital tokens to shareholders. Each eligible shareholder will receive one new digital token for every share of DJT stock they hold. Token holders will also earn regular annual rewards, including benefits or discounts on products under the Trump Media umbrella.

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Jump Crypto has received an airdrop of 9,284,890 LIT, equivalent to $24.2 million

On December 31, MLM Monitor reported that Jump Crypto received an airdrop of 9,284,890 LIT tokens (valued at roughly $24.2 million). The firm began providing liquidity on the Lighter platform in mid-November. Of the 9,284,890 LIT tokens, 323,956.6 were distributed to a newly created wallet—likely rewards from its liquidity provision activities. This means Jump Crypto effectively acted as a liquidity provider on the exchange with the equivalent of 9,284,890 LIT tokens. That sum represents approximately 0.93% of LIT’s total token supply and about 3.72% of its circulating supply.

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Trump Media & Technology Group: Plans to Distribute Digital Tokens to Shareholders

On Dec. 31, Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT.O) announced plans to distribute digital tokens to its stakeholders, with Crypto.com facilitating the process via its technology. (FX168)

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Analyst: Significant Fluctuation in Holiday Start Date Approvals, Making It Impractical as a Basis

December 31: U.S. initial jobless claims continued to decline last week, hitting 199,000—below consensus market expectations. Some analysts note holiday-season claims are more volatile and subject to significant seasonal revisions, rendering them less reliable as a basis for index compilation.

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