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On the last trading day of 2025, global stock markets rally to the biggest gain in six years

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December 31, 2025 — Global equities are on track for their largest annual gain in six years, fueled by Federal Reserve rate cuts and a surge in AI investments. With just one trading day remaining in 2025, the MSCI All Country World Index has climbed 21% this year. Asian stocks are poised for a third straight annual advance, set to notch their best performance since 2017. In 2025, shares rebounded from an April selloff triggered by Trump-era tariffs to hit record highs, supported by upbeat outlooks for economic growth, corporate earnings and loose monetary policy. However, heading into 2026, investors face elevated valuations, while policymakers are split on expanding further easing measures. Amanda Agati, chief investment officer at Panning Asset Management Group, said Tuesday: “For stocks to keep rallying next year, we need a dovish Fed.” Looking ahead to the new year, investors have reason to stay optimistic: Over the past decade, the MSCI global index has averaged a 1.4% gain in January, with gains in six of those years. (Jinshi)
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2026 Rate Cut Path Emerges as Key Variable for Crypto Market, Fed Disagreement Intensifying

**Dec 31 Update: Fed’s 2025 Rate Cuts Leave Rates at 18-Year High; 2026 Path Uncertain** The Federal Reserve cut interest rates three times in 2025, pushing its benchmark rate to 3.5%-3.75%—still an 18-year high. Latest dot plot data shows officials deeply divided on 2026 policy: Views on zero, one, or two rate cuts are nearly evenly split, stoking rising market uncertainty. CME figures put January rate cut odds at just 20%, climbing to 45% in March. Most forecasts point to a 2026 cut (or only one). Analysts note: - If employment weakens and inflation stays controlled, 1-2 cuts could hit this year—benefiting risk assets. - If inflation rebounds, cuts paired with liquidity support (or a pause) would pressure stocks and crypto. Also critical for 2026 crypto: Powell steps down in May, with a potential dovish new Fed chair a key variable.

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Solana's on-chain Meme experienced a significant price increase, with a 68% surge in the last 24 hours.

Dec 31 – Per GMGN monitoring (via this link), several meme coins on the Solana blockchain have posted notable gains over the past 24 hours. Key updates on top performers: - Coin "1": Up 68% in 24h (has risen steadily since last night), with a market cap of ~$15.4M and current price ~$0.0154 - SPSC: 29.3% 24h gain, market cap ~$11.2M, current price ~$0.011 - WOJAK: 28% 24h increase, market cap ~$29.6M, current price ~$0.029 - FKH: 12.6% 24h rise, market cap ~$16.8M, current price ~$0.017 BlockBeats notes: Meme coin trading is highly volatile, heavily tied to market sentiment and hype, with no underlying value or use case. Investors should exercise caution due to inherent risks.

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Top Whale Watch: 'BTC OG Insider Whale' Faces $39M All-Time Loss, Bear Position Targets LIT

On December 31st, per Coinbob Popular Address Monitoring (via their Telegram channel: Coinbob Popular Address Monitoring), key crypto whale accounts show mixed positioning—with long positions in major assets deep in the red, while short-focused whales have added new LIT shorts. Details below: ### **BTC OG Insider Whale** Maintains ~$39.4M in total unrealized losses. Its core holding is an ETH long (~$605M position, avg entry $3147, -28% unrealized loss = ~$34.2M). Also holds BTC and SOL longs (both unprofitable). Total holdings ~$758M, ranking **#1 in ETH/BTC/SOL longs** on Hyperliquid. ### **CZ Counterparty** ETH long (~$169M position, avg $3190) has ~$11.91M unrealized loss; liquidation price at $2658. Also holds an XRP long (~$73.07M, ~$15.93M unrealized loss). No position changes in the past week; total unrealized loss ~$27.6M. Ranks **#1 in XRP longs, #2 in ETH longs** on Hyperliquid. ### **pension-usdt.eth**

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A whale DCAed 1.63M LIT at a $2.33 average price

December 31 — OnchainLens monitoring shows a whale address deposited $4.03 million USDC into Lighter and purchased 1.63 million LIT tokens, with a total transaction value of approximately $3.80 million and an average price of around $2.33 per LIT. The wallet currently still holds 227,099 USDC, and further position increases cannot be ruled out.

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A Whale Sells 3000 ETH at a Loss of $43,000, Previously DCAed 8550 ETH at an Average Price of $2991

As of December 31, AI Auntie’s monitoring shows a whale that accumulated 8,550 ETH at an average price of $2,991 one week ago has begun reducing its position: 10 hours ago, the whale deposited 3,000 ETH (valued at roughly $8.93 million) to Binance. A sale of this tranche would result in a $43,000 loss. The remaining 5,550 ETH from last week’s position currently holds an unrealized loss of $46,000. The wallet’s total ETH holdings stand at 22,981.

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TRUMP Treasury Address Transfers 94 Million USDC to Coinbase, Funds Originated from Deployment Unilateral Liquidity Mining Rewards

As of December 31, per EmberCN monitoring, the deployment address for the meme token TRUMP (issued by Trump) has transferred 94 million USDC to Coinbase over the past three weeks. The USDC stemmed from the sale of TRUMP’s single-sided liquidity on Meteora—i.e., when providing liquidity, only TRUMP is deposited and automatically swapped for the paired stablecoin within a specified price range. EmberCN analysis notes that the primary cash-out method for both TRUMP and MELANIA involves single-sided liquidity sales, which ultimately convert to USDC flowing into Coinbase. This suggests a potential shared trading team behind the transactions.

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