The probability of the Fed keeping the interest rates unchanged in April is 87.6%, with a probability of a rate hike at 12.4%.
On March 23, data from CME’s FedWatch shows:
- The Federal Reserve (Fed) has a 12.4% probability of hiking rates by 25 basis points (bps) at its April meeting, with an 87.6% chance of holding rates steady.
- For the June meeting, the odds of a cumulative 25-bps hike are 21.9%, a cumulative 50-bps increase is 1.6%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 76.5%.
(Source: Oriental Wealth)
8 minutes ago
Trump Issues 48-Hour Ultimatum to Iran, Threatens to Strike Its Power Facilities, Iranian Side Warns of 'Total Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz'
March 23: Middle East tensions escalate as Trump issues a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, demanding "unconditional access" to the Strait of Hormuz. Failure to comply, he warns, will result in strikes on key infrastructure including power plants. Iran responds that any attack would prompt it to "completely shut down" the global energy artery and expand targets to cover energy, IT, and desalination facilities.
The conflict enters its fourth week, disrupting roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil and gas shipments. Energy prices have spiked sharply, and markets fear supply chain disruptions will further stoke inflation, hit the global economy, and spread geopolitical risks.
8 minutes ago
Iranian Foreign Ministry Explains Hormuz Strait Transit Principle
Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement on March 23 regarding developments from the 22nd, confirming the Strait of Hormuz remains open. Vessels may transit the waterway provided they follow necessary precautions amid the ongoing conflict, the statement said, while outlining Iran’s core principles on the strait’s navigation and safety.
The statement clarified that vessels linked to the U.S., Israel, and other "aggressor countries" do not meet criteria for normal, non-hostile passage. Iran will address such vessels in accordance with the law, it noted. Non-hostile vessels from other nations (or affiliated with them) that do not participate in or assist with aggression against Iran and comply with Iran’s announced safety rules and measures may transit safely after coordinating with Iran’s competent authorities.
The statement stressed that fully restoring the Strait of Hormuz’s sustainable security and stability requires ending military aggression and threats against Iran,
8 minutes ago
U.S. Treasury Secretary: 50 Days of Inflation Could Buy 50 Years of No Iranian Nukes
March 22 (NBC News) — U.S. Treasury Secretary Bennett defended U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian infrastructure Wednesday, telling reporters, “Sometimes you have to escalate to de-escalate.”
The remarks followed former President Trump’s ultimatum that Iran open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours or face destruction of its power plants. Bennett said that kind of tough messaging is “the only language Iranians understand.”
He also highlighted Khark Island, a critical hub for Iran’s oil production, noting “all options are on the table” — including deploying U.S. forces to seize control of the island.
Bennett added the American public would endure temporary price hikes (roughly 50 days, he emphasized as a “rough example”) before prices stabilize. In return, he claimed, the U.S. would secure “50 years of peace” with a nuclear-free Iran. “Thanks to President Trump, the American people are starting to grasp a simple truth: no security, no prosperity,” he said.
When pressed if p
8 minutes ago
SIREN Whale Holds 66.5% of Supply, Worth $1.04 Billion
March 22 — Per HTX market data, SIREN has surged 26x over the past month and a half, climbing from $0.08 to roughly $2.1 as of now.
Following the sharp rally, EmberCN monitoring shows a SIREN whale has consolidated 66.5% of the token’s total supply into 48 wallets from hundreds of addresses in the past few hours. The holding totals 484.6 million SIREN tokens, worth approximately $1.04 billion.
This whale accumulated the tokens by the end of June 2025 via hundreds of wallets at an average price of around $0.045, spending roughly $21.8 million. The position now has a 47x return, valued at $1.04 billion.
8 minutes ago
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