Lookonchain APP

App Store

Analysis: The US Stock Market Has Begun the "Santa Rally", with Investors Positioning Themselves Early for a Positive Outlook in 2026

2025.12.23 09:51:56

**US Stocks Kick Off Santa Claus Rally; Gold/Silver Hit All-Time Highs** December 23 saw US equities launch the traditional "Santa Claus Rally," with major indexes ending mostly higher. Gold and silver hit all-time highs, while platinum approached a record peak. Cryptocurrencies rallied before paring gains. The S&P 500 closed higher Monday, erasing all December losses and on track for an eighth straight monthly advance—its longest winning streak since 2018. Several factors are fueling the rally: 1. **Options Expiration Catalyst**: Friday’s record Triple Witching expiration wiped out a swath of long positions in the S&P 500’s 6700-6800 zone, opening room for further gains. The VIX (volatility index) dropped below 15 (its lowest since August), with short-term implied volatility contracting. Market makers’ hedging demand has shifted to trend-following, pushing the market into a slow, steady climb. 2. **Seasonal & Fundamental Tailwinds**: Historical data shows year-end is typically strong for equities. Investors are positioning early for upbeat 2026 outlooks—including faster GDP/corporate profit growth and AI-driven trading shifts. Federal Reserve Governor Milan noted recession risks could rise if the Fed fails to keep cutting rates next year, with his dovish remarks boosting risk sentiment. 3. **Technical Level**: The S&P 500’s next psychological level is 7000 points. *Source: Wall Street News*
Relevant content

Citigroup: Global Oil Supply Crunch of 440,000 Barrels/Day Expected

Citi said on April 2 that global oil supply could face a shortfall of 440,000 barrels per day (bpd). If some Gulf states reject Iran’s so-called “transit fee,” the shortfall could widen to 800,000 bpd. (Golden Ten)

6 minutes ago

A whale has transferred 450,000 HYPE to HyperCore and started selling.

On April 2, per MLM Monitor, crypto whale "Loracle" transferred 450k HYPE tokens (valued at ~$15.5M) from HyperEVM to HyperCore and began selling them roughly 20 minutes ago.

6 minutes ago

Polymarket integrates with Pyth Pro to provide it with traditional asset data feeds

April 2, Prediction market platform Polymarket has integrated Pyth Pro as the data source for its new line of traditional asset contracts. Covering assets ranging from gold and silver to major stock index ETFs, Polymarket leverages Pyth Pro data to offer daily open, high, low, and close prices, while ensuring full transparency via real-time price charts updated every second.

6 minutes ago

The three major U.S. stock indices opened sharply lower, with the Nasdaq down 1.6%.

On April 2nd, per Bitget data, the three major U.S. stock indexes dropped sharply at the market open: the Dow was down 1.2%, the S&P 500 1.1%, and the Nasdaq 1.6%.

6 minutes ago

Uniswap is now live on the Linea network

On April 2nd, Uniswap announced that Uniswap v2, v3, and v4 are now live on the Linea network. Linea—a zkEVM Layer 2 scaling solution developed by Consensys—is now accessible via the Uniswap web app and API, while support for the Uniswap Wallet on iOS and Android is being rolled out gradually.

6 minutes ago

Analyst: Trump Speech Drives Soaring Oil Prices, Risk Premium Surges

Crude Oil Futures Surge on Trump’s Iran Comments (April 2) Crude oil futures prices jumped sharply on April 2, after former President Donald Trump’s remarks on the Iran situation dashed traders’ hopes for a quick resolution to the Middle East conflict. TP ICAP analyst Scott Shelton noted in a report: “Oil prices were under pressure for most of the week, but Trump’s comments sparked an overnight surge. The remarks tilted toward escalation and completing the mission, with little mention of peace negotiations.” He added that while the move may aim to pressure Iran back to the negotiating table, the oil risk premium has spiked sharply. (Source: FX678)

6 minutes ago