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Bitwise: Bitcoin is expected to reach a new all-time high in 2026, the halving effect has significantly diminished, and the emergence of 10.11 has reduced the likelihood of a major market crash.

1 days ago

December 17 Cryptocurrency investment firm and index fund manager Bitwise says Bitcoin will hit a new all-time high in 2026, despite a two-month slump. Bitwise CEO Matt Hougan noted that Bitcoin has historically followed a four-year cycle—three years of strong growth followed by a deep pullback year. Under that cycle, 2026 would typically be a pullback year. But we don’t think that’s going to happen. In our view, the key drivers of that four-year cycle—Bitcoin halvings, interest rate cycles, and crypto market swings tied to leverage—have weakened significantly compared to past cycles. - **Halving Impact**: Each subsequent Bitcoin halving is, by definition, only half as impactful as the one before it. - **Interest Rates**: Rates spiked sharply in 2018 and 2022, weighing on prices—but we expect rates to fall in 2026. - **Bubble Risk**: After record liquidations in October 2025, relative deleveraging and better regulation have cut the odds of a major market crash. More importantly, the wave of institutional capital spurred by the 2024 approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs will accelerate in 2026. Firms like JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Merrill Lynch will begin allocating assets to Bitcoin. Additionally, the crypto market is set to benefit from a pro-crypto regulatory shift post-2024 U.S. election, as Wall Street and fintech firms fully embrace crypto. We expect these combined factors to push Bitcoin to a new all-time high.
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QCP Capital: If Ai Company Revenue Fails to Keep Pace with Investment, it May Trigger a Broader Stock Market Value Reassessment

QCP Capital took to its official channel on December 18 to note that markets are ending the year in a fragile balance of confidence and caution. The Fed’s dovish rate-cut stance is mixed with hawkish undertones: signals back the labor market while keeping inflation firmly in focus. Its dot plot points to a flattening interest rate path, with current market pricing indicating roughly 2-3 rate cuts next year. The stock market remains a key macro swing factor. Capital continues flowing into AI infrastructure, but monetization is lagging. If revenue growth fails to keep up with investment, risks could spill over from the AI sector—potentially triggering a broader stock market revaluation in 2026. The crypto market remains under pressure as MSCI reviews index eligibility for digital asset managers. This could spark up to $28 billion in passive outflows.

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The crypto market is experiencing a general downturn, with new coins and star project coins facing a heavy sell-off.

December 18th — Per HTX market data, the crypto market is broadly declining following Bitcoin’s overnight surge to $90,000 and subsequent pullback, with the following notable 24-hour moves: - STABLE: Down 23.3% | Last trading at $0.01 - MON: Down 13.1% | Currently at $0.0183 - PUMP: Down 12.7% | Trading at $0.002 - ZORA: Down 12.4% | At $0.0458 - BERA: Down 11.5% | Last seen at $0.5649 This rewrite uses concise, news-style language common in U.S. crypto updates: - "Per" (instead of "according to") for brevity; - "Overnight surge" / "pullback" (natural terms for price moves); - Vertical dividers to organize asset data clearly; - Varied phrasing ("last trading at," "currently at") to avoid repetition while keeping info scannable.

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The 3A Blockchain Game Seraph Season 5 officially launches today, login now to receive a $100 deluxe three-piece set as a gift.

On December 18, AAA blockchain action game **Seraph** announced that Season 5 officially launched at 11:00 AM UTC+8 the same day. To celebrate the new season, the dev team is offering all players a **$100 welcome pack** as a login reward: a Season Pass, Advanced Upgrade Pill, and Booth Voucher bundle—valued at roughly $100—to help players hit the ground running and dive into Season 5’s content. This season retains the fan-favorite *Abyssal Treasures* mode, which earned rave reviews when it debuted in Season 4. Focused on low-barrier entry and a "play-to-earn without spending" model, it has already drawn in tons of new and returning players. Per the team’s earlier announcements, Seraph will roll out a **back-to-back launch schedule** for Season 5 and Season 6, plus refine its seasonal cycle system to enable **co-creation and mutual growth** between users and the ecosystem.

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If Bitcoin drops below $84,000, the mainstream CEX's aggregated long liquidation volume will reach 915 million.

As of December 18th, Coinglass data shows that if Bitcoin drops below $84,000, the cumulative long liquidation strength across major centralized exchanges (CEXs) will reach $915 million. Conversely, should Bitcoin rise above $89,000, the cumulative short liquidation strength for these mainstream CEXs will hit $1.463 billion. **BlockBeats Note:** Liquidation charts do not display the exact number or value of contracts subject to liquidation. Instead, the bars on these charts represent the relative importance of each liquidation cluster compared to neighboring clusters—i.e., their "strength." This means the charts indicate how significantly Bitcoin’s price will be impacted when it hits a given level: a taller "liquidation bar" signals a more intense price reaction due to a liquidity cascade once that price point is reached.

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Coinbase has announced that the Base App is now open to all users.

On December 18, Coinbase announced that its Base App—previously available only by invitation—has opened to the general public. Over 1 million people had been waiting patiently for access as the team gradually expanded spots. Over the past few months, the team has continuously gathered feedback, rolled out updates, and worked to refine the experience daily. Today, the invitation-only phase officially concludes, and the all-new Base App is now accessible to everyone.

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A certain whale's LONG position hype triggered the largest single liquidation across the entire network, with a total liquidation scale exceeding $26 million.

December 18th — Monitoring from HyperInsight (via its Telegram channel) and CoinGlass shows the largest single liquidation event in the past 24 hours hit $11.08 million, stemming from a HYPE long position held by an address starting with 0xbad on Hyperliquid. This address saw three major liquidations this morning totaling approximately $26.3 million, for a total loss of $8.0029 million. As of now, its next liquidation price is $23.6, with a position size of roughly $26.81 million, an average entry price of $31.2, and an unrealized loss of $7.7 million (-143.6%). Additionally, the largest HYPE long position is held by a “HYPE Bull” whale. This whale has an unrealized loss of $19.77 million (-294%), a position size of around $33.61 million, an average entry price of $38.6, and a liquidation price of $20.65. The address previously established a large long position ahead of Robinhood’s October 23rd announcement that it would launch HYPE spot trading.

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