Epstein Files Release Countdown: 3 Days, a certain "Ant Farm" player bets $5,000 in emergency that Trump will violate the law

December 16th — per monitoring by PolyBeats, nearly a month has passed since former President Trump signed the "Epstein File Transparency Act" on November 19th. Under the law, relevant documents must be disclosed by the 19th. Since the publication of the article “10U God of War Suddenly Collective Adds Long Positions, Betting on Trump Ignoring Law to Keep Epstein Files Secret”, the market has seen the probability of document disclosure “before the 19th” and “before the 31st” rise by roughly 10%. Notably, the prediction market’s final settlement rules for the “yes” condition are extremely strict: disclosure must come from the **executive branch**, and it must include previously undisclosed illegal content. While the law sets a deadline, it also allows “withholding or redacting” content under specific circumstances. Perhaps because Trump — already mentioned in the documents for various reasons — is deemed unlikely to release documents meeting these strict criteria, the all-in account “ohawaffle” (referenced in the earlier flash) continued buying at an average price of 43 cents on December 19th after the article’s publication, investing nearly $5,000. His three historical trades had an average entry price of $61. If his judgment holds, his sole position will yield over 4x profit, with a total value of $11,410.