Lookonchain APP

App Store

Bitunix Analyst: US Employment Stalls, Macro Stagnation Risk Remains, Crypto Market Focuses on Key Liquidation Range

19 hours ago

**December 15 Update** The U.S. labor market continues to cool: the unemployment rate has risen to 4.4%, hiring remains weak, and layoffs are steadily climbing—creating a "low hiring, low layoffs" stagnation. Economists warn that further deterioration in core industry employment could bring material downward pressure by 2026; the Federal Reserve has also flagged "significant downside risks" to the job market. Markets remain split on the "soft landing aftermath" and recession odds, but macro uncertainty is now a broad consensus. Bitcoin (BTC) is in a consolidation phase. Heavy liquidation pressure clusters around $90,144, $91,000, and $91,300—signaling elevated selling pressure and leverage risk during the rebound. The key downside support level is $87,500; a break below may trigger fresh passive deleveraging. Short-term price action is likely range-bound, awaiting clear cues from macro data and liquidity trends. **Bitunix Analyst Take** Synchronized employment and growth slowdowns leave market risk appetite vulnerable. A critical watchpoint for BTC’s trend continuity (or weakening) is whether it holds above the liquidation zone. Dense global central bank rate decisions in the month’s second half could reset 2026 liquidity expectations.
Relevant content

Grayscale: Quantum Computing Unlikely to Impact Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Prices in 2026

**December 16 (Decrypt) — Grayscale said in its latest “2026 Digital Asset Outlook” report that while quantum computing poses a long-term security challenge, it will have minimal impact on cryptocurrency market prices in 2026, labeling the threat a “false alarm” for the coming year. The asset manager noted the quantum risk is a legitimate concern but unlikely to affect crypto markets or valuations in the short term.** **The report cited estimates suggesting a quantum system capable of breaking Bitcoin’s cryptography could emerge as early as before 2030. Grayscale analysts added that research and preparation for post-quantum cryptography will continue, but the issue is not expected to impact valuations over the next year.**

3 minutes ago

A certain whale increased its short position on SOL with 20x leverage, currently holding a unrealized profit of approximately $15.9 million.

As of December 16, Onchain Lens monitoring shows that amid a market downturn, the whale address "0x35d" has expanded its 20x leveraged SOL short position, currently holding an unrealized profit of approximately $15.9 million.

3 minutes ago

「Buddy」 Leveraged Long Liquidated for the Tenth Time, Account Balance Now at $53,178

On December 16, LookOnChain data shows the trader nicknamed "Buddy" has been liquidated 10 more times on long positions. Since the October 11 market crash, he’s been liquidated 200 times total, sustaining losses exceeding $22.88 million. His account now holds just $53,178.

3 minutes ago

A whale has closed its ETH long position, with a loss of approximately $5.86 million

**Update (Dec 16):** Onchain Lens data shows a crypto whale closed out its ETH long position amid market declines, incurring a loss of roughly $5.86 million. All told, the whale has erased its prior profits and now faces a total loss of ~$2.4 million.

3 minutes ago

a16z transferred 276,000 COMP to Coinbase Prime 2 hours ago

On December 16, on-chain analytics firm Yingyanjian reported that 2 hours ago, a16z transferred 276,000 COMP tokens (valued at $7.6 million) to Coinbase Prime. a16z is the lead investor in Compound, having invested in March 2020 and received 1 million COMP tokens—equivalent to 10% of the total COMP supply. As of now, a16z’s on-chain addresses primarily hold 64 million UNI tokens (valued at $325 million) and 19.51 million OP tokens (valued at $5.71 million), with no COMP left.

3 minutes ago

A new wallet bought 51,373 AAVE at an average price of $189.79.

On December 16, data from Onchain Lens monitoring indicates a newly created wallet withdrew 3,301 ETH (valued at $9.75 million) from Kraken. It subsequently used this ETH to purchase 51,373 AAVE tokens at an average price of $189.79 per AAVE.

3 minutes ago