Tesla may release "FSD Beta without a Steering Wheel" later this year; did "Insider" lay out the groundwork three months early?

**December 15 — Per monitoring from PolyBeats, the market’s odds on “Will Tesla launch unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) by December 31?” have plummeted since the contract launched May 30: starting at a peak of 75%, they fell to just 7% as of the morning of December 14 Eastern Time.** **That shifted early December 14 Eastern Time, when multiple X users tweeted spotting a fully unmanned Tesla Model Y Robotaxi operating autonomously in Austin, Texas. Shortly after, Tesla AI lead Ashok Elluswamy retweeted the video with the comment “And so it begins!”—a signal the market interpreted as Tesla nearing an unsupervised FSD release.** **Driven by the news, the probability surged nearly 8x, hitting a peak of 54% before settling at 24% currently.** **During the surge, one user—sango—stood out as suspicious: they could have locked in over 200% profits but held their position. Sango began buying “yes” contracts for this market three months ago, with an average entry price of 17 cents and an unrealized gain of 79%. Their only other trade was a winning bet on “Will Tesla launch an unsupervised Robotaxi service by October 31?” that netted 187%.**