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In the Kalshi's "Best AI by End of 2025" market, Gemini's winning probability has increased to 86%.

6 hours ago

On December 14, Kalshi’s prediction market for “Best AI by the End of 2025” shows Google’s Gemini has surged to an 86% win probability, with OpenAI’s ChatGPT at 8% and xAI’s Grok at 6%. Trading volume for this market has hit $14.08 million. Notably, earlier this year, Gemini held just 30%, ChatGPT 41%, and Grok 14%. Final settlement will be based on LM Arena leaderboard data.
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Analyst: Bitcoin Key Support Level at $86,000, Potential Breakdown Could Trigger Deeper Pullback

December 14 (CoinDesk) — Bitcoin fell below $90,000 on Sunday, as investors held limited overall risk appetite ahead of next week’s key economic data releases and central bank meetings. Some analysts have warned that a break of key technical levels could shift Bitcoin’s range-bound consolidation into bearish territory. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez said earlier Sunday on X that $86,000 remains a critical support level Bitcoin must hold; a breach of this level could trigger a deeper market pullback. The crypto market is currently in a consolidation phase, with low trading volume and muted investor confidence. Traders are waiting for upcoming U.S. macroeconomic data and central bank policy decisions to gain clearer directional signals.

17 minutes ago

Michael Saylor republishes Bitcoin Tracker information, hinting at additional BTC purchase.

**December 14** MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor has once again shared information related to the company’s Bitcoin tracker. Per the firm’s historical pattern, MicroStrategy typically discloses details of its latest Bitcoin holdings additions the day after releasing such related updates.

17 minutes ago

On Polymarket, the probability of "Bank of Japan 25 Basis Point Rate Hike in December" is currently trading at 98%.

As of December 14, the probability of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) hiking interest rates by 25 basis points in December stands at 98% on Polymarket, while the chance of no rate change is 2%, per the platform’s relevant page. The BOJ is set to announce its monetary policy decision on December 19, according to public information.

17 minutes ago

A whale withdrew 14,098,000 WLFI from Binance, equivalent to around $2.03 million

On December 14th, Arkham data indicates a whale withdrew 14.098 million WLFI from Binance roughly 20 minutes ago, with the tokens valued at approximately $2.03 million.

17 minutes ago

「Ultimate Shorter」 Whale Shorts BTC with 20x Leverage, Floating Profit Exceeds $18 Million, Profits $9.56 Million Only from Funding Rate

As of December 14th, monitoring by HyperInsight (via Telegram) reveals the "Ultimate Bear" whale (address 0x5D2) holds a 20x Bitcoin short position. The whale currently has a floating profit of $18.11 million and has earned $9.56 million in funding fees. Entry price: $11,140; Position size: 820 BTC.

17 minutes ago

Cathie Wood: Crypto Market May Have Bottomed Out, Bitcoin Still the Institutional Favorite

On December 14, Cathie Wood—founder of ARK Invest—stated that during the October 11 flash crash, Bitcoin boasted the strongest liquidity among all crypto assets, often leading sell-offs that dragged down other currencies (which saw steeper declines). With markets already pricing in the relevant information, she noted the asset may have already bottomed out. Wood emphasized Bitcoin represents a new global monetary system and asset class, serving as institutions’ preferred entry point into crypto and meriting a frontline position in institutional asset allocation. Regarding Ethereum and Solana, Wood noted the narrative is shifting. Ethereum, she said, is institutions’ infrastructure of choice, with Layer 2 solutions built atop it. However, as Layer 2s proliferate rapidly, whether Ethereum faces "commoditization" risk remains worth watching. Still, its ecosystem continues expanding, making it ARK’s second choice. Solana, meanwhile, leans more toward a consumer-focused blockchain eco

17 minutes ago