Reuters Poll: S&P 500 Index to Rise to 7490 Next Year, Possible Pullback in the Next Three Months

On November 26th - A Reuters survey of stock market strategists indicated that the S&P 500 index is projected to increase by approximately 12% from its present level by the end of 2026. This is driven by a healthy U.S. economy, the strong performance of tech companies, and the Federal Reserve's maintaining loose monetary policy. Based on the median forecast from a survey conducted among over 45 strategists, analysts, and portfolio managers from November 14th to 25th, the S&P 500 index is expected to close at 7490 points in 2026, which is 11.7% higher than the current level. If the stock market closes higher in 2025, this will mark the fourth consecutive year of gains for this benchmark index. Among the 14 respondents who answered additional questions, 8 believe there is a higher likelihood of a pullback in the S&P 500 in the next three months. Analysts pointed out that the risks to the overall optimistic forecast include the potential increase in inflation and the uncertainty regarding the prospect of rate cuts. The survey predicted that the Dow would close at 50,566 points next year, which is more than 7% higher than its current level. The index closed at 47,112.45 points on Tuesday. (Jinshi)