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Bitunix Analyst: Plan 19 Just Finalized, Russian Military Firepower to Immediately Respond, Peace Window Likely to Rapidly Close

2 hours ago

On November 25th, the United States and Ukraine just reached a preliminary agreement on the "19-Point Peace Plan." However, the Kremlin has not yet received the official document. Nevertheless, Russian missiles have already arrived over Kyiv as a direct demonstration. This hybrid strike targeted the capital's energy and civilian infrastructure, with multiple explosions continuously echoing. The Kyiv city government has initiated water and electricity rationing, symbolizing Russia's attempt to compress negotiation space through battlefield actions. From a diplomatic rhythm perspective, Trump had previously expressed optimism about the ceasefire prospects and hinted at a major breakthrough in the Geneva talks. However, the Russian military's attack that night seemed more like an immediate veto of the "revised plan." Moscow had previously criticized the new version of the document as "unacceptable," and its core disputes regarding territory and NATO arrangements are still being postponed for leaders' decisions. This means that the so-called "19-Point Consensus" appears more like an internal coordination result between the US and Ukraine rather than a feasible trilateral peace framework. Bitunix Analyst View: A further escalation of the Russia-Ukraine situation will strengthen global risk-off sentiment in the short term. For the cryptocurrency market, geopolitical shocks often lead to differences in fund flows. On one hand, some safe-haven demand may boost BTC's dominance. On the other hand, liquidity tightening and leverage liquidation risks will concentrate pressure on mid- and small-cap tokens. Considering the structural flaws in the peace plan and Russia's military response, if the situation continues to deteriorate, the market may once again enter a phase of "high volatility, low-risk appetite," where cryptocurrency price fluctuations are likely to be more significant than those of traditional assets.
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