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Fed Taper Talk: The Outcome of the December Rate Meeting Is Becoming Increasingly Unpredictable

2 hours ago

On November 20th, Nick Timiraos, renowned as the "Fed Whisperer" from The Wall Street Journal, made a post on social media. It was indicated that the Fed meeting minutes confirmed the gradually emerging market consensus after the meeting. Currently, a slight majority of officials are inclined to keep rates unchanged in December. The sentiment of "many" weighs more than the "digits". The outcome of the December interest rate meeting is becoming increasingly unpredictable.
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Bitcoin Surges Above $90,000

On November 20th, based on HTX market data, Bitcoin rebounded and exceeded $90,000. The 24-hour decline was narrowed to 2.58%.

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In the past 4 hours, there has been a total of $286 million in liquidations across the entire network, with the majority coming from long positions.

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Elon Musk tweeted thanking Trump, and both attended the SaaMei Investment Forum.

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US Stock Market Close: Three Major Indexes Up, Strategy Down 10%

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6 minutes ago

After the release of the Fed's minutes from the October meeting, the market's probability of a rate cut in December dropped to 31.6%.

On November 20th, based on the data from the CME FedWatch Tool, after the Fed released the minutes of the October meeting, the market's likelihood of a rate cut in December decreased to 31.6%, and the probability of no rate cut reached 68.4%. Before the data was released (1:00 AM Beijing time today), the market was anticipating a 51.1% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in December and a 48.9% probability of rates remaining unchanged.

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