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Due to the "Fill the Gap in Missing Data" message, the market is once again betting on a rate cut in December.

2025.11.19 09:08:13

On November 19th, as per Polymarket data, the present predicted market likelihood of the Fed reducing interest rates by 25 basis points in December has climbed to 52%, while the probability of rates remaining unchanged has dropped to 46%. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in December has surged to 48.9%, which was 42.4% yesterday. In today's news, a spokesperson for the U.S. Department of Labor stated that the Labor Department intends to make up for the missing weekly initial jobless claims data from the government shutdown period by the end of Thursday's local time.
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