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Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin Could Dip to $80-85K First, Then Rally to $200-250K by End of Year

2 hours ago

On November 18th, Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of BitMEX, stated in his latest blog post titled "Snow Forecast" that "Bitcoin dropped from $125,000 to around the $90,000 range. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices are still staying at historical highs. This makes me think that a credit event may be on the verge of brewing. This view was confirmed when I noticed the decline in the U.S. dollar liquidity index since July. If the assessment is correct, the stock market may undergo a 10%-20% correction, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is likely to approach 5%. This will force the Federal Reserve, the Treasury Department, or other U.S. government agencies to urgently implement some form of money printing scheme. During this soft period, Bitcoin may drop to $80,000 to $85,000. If a more widespread risk market collapse occurs and the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department accelerate money printing actions, Bitcoin could rise to $200,000 to $250,000 by the end of the year."
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South Korea's KOSPI Index Drops Over 3%

On November 18th, based on market data, the South Korean KOSPI index dropped by more than 3%.

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NASDAQ 100 Index Futures Extend Losses to 1%

On November 18th, according to market data, the decline of Nasdaq 100 Index futures expanded to 1%.

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Yesterday, the largest BTC short position was accurately liquidated, resulting in a $97 million loss, marking the largest single liquidation across the entire network.

According to HyperInsight (accessible via https://t.me/HyperInsight and monitored by Coinglass), at 22:00 yesterday, BTC witnessed a rapid surge of 2% and reached $96,100 within a span of 5 minutes. The largest BTC short whale on Hyperliquid, with a holding amount of over $120 million, was liquidated multiple times. The largest liquidation was approximately $96.51 million, which marked the largest single liquidation across the network. At that time, the address had an average holding price of $95,270, and the liquidation price was around $96,000. Its short positions in XRP and ZEC were simultaneously liquidated, resulting in a total loss of approximately $2.97 million. The account value dropped from a high of $6.57 million yesterday to $1.47 million, and all funds were subsequently withdrawn. In the past 9 hours, the address deposited around $1.7 million into Hyperliquid again. Then, it opened another 10x leverage ZEC short position with an average price of $666 and a liquidation pri

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Binance Will Delist XCN, FLM, PERP USDT-Margined Perpetual Contracts

On November 18th, Binance Futures will cease all U-? perpetual contracts for XCNUSDT, FLMUSDT, and PERPUSDT at 17:00 (UTC+8) on November 21st, 2025 and carry out automatic settlement. Once the settlement is finished, the contracts will be delisted.

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「Buddy」 Retaliatory Long Attempt to Recover Loss, 25x ETH Long Position Increased to $3.3 Million

On November 18th, as per the monitoring of HyperInsight, "Buddy" Huang Licheng launched a revenge long position in an endeavor to recoup losses. 9 minutes ago, 25.6 thousand US dollars in margin were transferred to his account, which led to a 25-fold increase in his ETH long position, with the current position size reaching 3.3 million US dollars. The opening price was 3,041.07 US dollars, and the liquidation price was 2,816 US dollars. His account has suffered a loss of 5.04 million US dollars in the past week.

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Summary of This Round of Downward Trend Views: Bitcoin's Final Bottom Predicted as Low as $75,000

November 18th. Bitcoin witnessed its first dip below $90,000 in nearly 7 months, with a daily decline of 5.9% and a decrease of more than 28.7% from the current peak. When will the decline cease, and at what price range will the ultimate bottom be reached? BlockBeats has compiled the following key analysis points before and after this round of decline: Placeholder VC partner Chris Burniske pointed out that the signs of a market top have now emerged, and he plans to re-enter when BTC drops to $75,000 or lower. The significant drop on October 11th had a lasting impact on the market, making it difficult to promptly establish sustained buying pressure. The monthly charts of BTC and ETH show cracks but are still within the "top range." Additionally, the decline in MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock price, warnings in the gold and credit markets, all indicate that a broader asset adjustment is imminent. "This bull market is different, and the next bear market will also be different." It is not a si

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