Lookonchain APP

App Store

Analysis: The Super Whale's losses in this retracement were significantly lower than before, with key holdings still being held firmly.

2025.11.16 16:08:27

On November 16th, on-chain analyst Murphy stated that against the backdrop of deteriorating market sentiment, the super whale group that truly holds a huge amount of chips remains relatively calm. On-chain data shows that large wallets holding 1000 to 10000 BTC have realized a loss of only $80 million (7D-SMA), a scale significantly lower than that seen during the two key pullback periods in August 2024 and March 2025. The larger whale group is in a similar position. Super whales holding 10,000 to 100,000 BTC have realized a loss of about $40 million (7D-SMA) in this drop, also significantly lower than the loss scale from the previous two periods. In terms of psychological expectations, risk tolerance, and position management, the main force in this round appears more mature and stable, and these core chips are still being firmly held. Looking at the chip structure, the BTC price is still within the range of a large chip stack zone at $92,000 to $117,000. The majority of high-level trapped chips are located at $112,000, which has decreased by only 11,000 compared to last week. It can be inferred that most of the chips have been picked up by long-term funds and are not sensitive to short-term price fluctuations. The largest reduction in chips is near $100,000, which has decreased by 102,000 BTC compared to last week and is currently holding 363,000 BTC. The most severe short-term chip pressure is concentrated here. The current price of $96,000 has increased by 160,000 compared to last week, and the vast majority comes from chip sales at the $100,000 position.
Relevant content

A whale with a $4.7M position FOMOed into gold, becoming the whale with the closest liquidation address among existing on-chain whales

April 1: Per HyperInsight monitoring, a whale with an address starting with 0x198 today opened a 25x leveraged long position on GOLD, with a size of $4.24 million, an average entry price of $4,610, and a liquidation price of $4,606. As gold’s spot price climbed above $4,720, the position’s current unrealized gain has reached $114,000 (+60%). Among all on-chain whales holding PAXG and GOLD gold positions, this address is the closest to its liquidation price.

4 minutes ago

The probability of a 25 basis points rate hike by the Federal Reserve in April has dropped to just 0.5%.

As of April 1, CME’s FedWatch data shows the probability of the Federal Reserve hiking rates by 25 basis points in April has fallen to 0.5%—down from a brief 12.4% on March 23. Rate hike odds are now nearly negligible, with a 99.5% chance rates will remain unchanged.

4 minutes ago

US Stock Pre-market Crypto Stocks Surge, CRCL Up by 2.64%

On April 1, Bitget market data indicates U.S. crypto-related stocks posted broad gains in pre-market trading. Key movers include: - Circle (CRCL): +2.64% - American Bitcoin (ABTC): +2.56% - Bit Digital (BTBT): +2.31% - Sharplink Gaming (SBET): +2.02% - Gemini (GEMI): +1.81% - Robinhood (HOOD): +1.52% - Coinbase (COIN): +1.41% - Riot Platforms (RIOT): +1.42%

4 minutes ago

Quantum Risk: Quantum Risk truly exists, representing a systemic issue rather than being limited to cryptocurrency

April 1st, QCP noted in a post that a recent Google paper has reignited debate over quantum computing and cryptography security—specifically Elliptic Curve Cryptography (ECC), the scheme used by Bitcoin and Ethereum. This is a long-term structural issue, not an immediate market risk—and that distinction is critical. ECC security relies on the elliptic curve discrete logarithm problem to protect private keys, making it computationally infeasible to derive a private key from its corresponding public key. The same standard secures banking networks, encrypted communications, and global financial infrastructure—including the SWIFT system. If quantum computing breaks ECC, the impact will be global, not limited to digital assets. Technically speaking, the computing power needed to crack ECC is still a long way off. To date, the world’s most advanced quantum systems represent only a tiny fraction of that required threshold—roughly 1,000 times short—meaning practical attacks remain a dist

4 minutes ago

MGBX will launch the "April Speed ??Sprint Week" limited-time event, open to all platform users

MGBX Launches "April Speed Sprint Week" Limited-Time Event Kicking off April 1, the MGBX platform will host its "April Speed Sprint Week" limited-time event from April 2 to April 8, 2026 (SGT) — open to all platform users. Contract traders can join these challenges during the event: - The first 200 daily check-in completers split a 2,000 USDT prize pool. - Trades ending in the number 8 qualify for a lucky draw, with 200 winners each taking home 10 USDT. - Elite users with high cumulative trading volume share a 4,000 USDT prize pool. - Users meeting specified loss criteria split a 2,000 USDT prize pool. Total prize pool cap: Up to 10,000 USDT.

4 minutes ago

HTX becomes the exclusive Fee Deduction Token for Huobi HTX

Per an official announcement dated April 1, Huobi HTX will make HTX the sole token for fee deductions starting at 00:00 UTC+8 on April 1, 2026. The platform will also gradually phase out the TRX fee deduction function. Users paying fees with HTX will get an extra discount on top of their original Prime tier rates: 25% off spot trading fees and 5% off contract trading fees. To enable HTX deductions and view corresponding rules/benefits, users can access the “My Fee Rate” section in the Huobi HTX app or click “Fee Rate Introduction.”

4 minutes ago