Bitunix Analyst: Bitcoin Plunges to $96,000, Market Enters New Bear Market Phase, Key Support Tested at $93,000
November 14th: In the cryptocurrency market, there was a new round of sell-offs. Bitcoin fell below the $100,000 psychological level and hit a low of $96,600, refreshing the low since May. With the significant decline in the US tech sector and the resurgence of risk aversion sentiment, large funds, ETF positioning funds, and corporate buying pressure that had previously supported the market all withdrew simultaneously, resulting in a rapid shift in the market structure towards fragility. 10x Research confirmed that the market has entered a bear market phase and pointed out that the weakening of ETF fund flows, the accelerated selling by long-term holders, and the low retail participation are the current main reasons.
From a market structure perspective, after Bitcoin lost the monthly midline support at $100,266, the price is now rapidly testing the downside liquidity zone. The short-term support is in the range of $93,000 to $95,000. If it is broken, the next liquidity gap may move do
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RaveDAO Genesis Member NFT Minting Event Ended Early, All Membership Cards Sold Out Within Four Days
On November 14th, as per RaveDAO News, the initially planned five-day RaveDAO Genesis Membership NFT minting event got sold out one day in advance because of the strong global community demand. The sales pace of each membership tier over four days was as follows:
The Emerald Pass: It was sold out within 11 minutes after its launch.
The Black Pass: It was sold out within 1 hour after its launch.
The Gold Pass: It was sold out within 23 hours after its launch.
The Platinum Pass: It was sold out on the 4th day after its launch.
This event attracted users from Asia, Europe, North America, and other regions to participate, and the communities in various time zones showed high activity, which demonstrated strong market expectations for the RaveDAO ecosystem and future roadmap. The list of winners for the Genesis Rewards lottery will be announced on the X platform and Telegram one week after the Total Good Enough (TGE) ends, and the corresponding lottery rewards will be distributed two weeks
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Arete Capital Partner: Bitcoin has faced difficulty in reaching a new high this year, but is expected to surpass $150,000 in the second half of next year
On November 14th, McKenna, a partner at Arete Capital, pointed out in the market outlook that in the short term, Bitcoin still has a considerable pullback space, with the potential for a maximum decline of 31%. However, in the long term, institutional holding and fund inflows will drive the price to reach a new all-time high in the next few years.
McKenna stated that Bitcoin has broken below the weekly 50-period moving average, which may lead to further downward pressure. The potential support levels include $96,200 (a high-volume node), $93,300 (the yearly opening price and the midpoint of the range), and the range of $86,000 - $91,000 (a full retracement would correspond to approximately a 31% pullback). He pointed out that the price has received support around $92,000 twice, which is typically regarded as a preferred phased entry position.
Although a correction is expected in the short term, McKenna emphasized that he would view the pullback as an opportunity to hold spot position
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Viewpoint: Bitcoin's first support level is $87,000
On November 14th, the CryptoQuant analyst @AxelAdlerJr tweeted that, based on his established Bitcoin conservative valuation model (which is said to be based on the epoch cycle method and has a backtesting score as high as 95/100), during the bear market phase, the first support level for Bitcoin is $87,000 and the second support level is $74,000.
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