Analyst: Bitcoin's recent rebound may be driven by leverage, and if funding continues to flow out, it could lead to further price decline
On December 28, on-chain analyst Ali published a note stating Bitcoin’s recent market action signals a "dead cat bounce"—with prices potentially falling again afterward.
Chain data shows capital inflows into the crypto market have been steadily declining, marking the first net outflow in nearly two years (now at -$4.5 billion). This means funds are currently leaving the crypto space, not entering.
Bitcoin ETFs have recorded net outflows of nearly $1 billion over the past two weeks. Any rebounds seen are likely driven by leverage, not spot demand, leaving further downside risks intact.
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Lighter Founder: Previous LIT Token Large Transactions Unrelated to Airdrop, App May Launch in Coming Weeks
On December 28th, after the community discovered the Lighter team’s address had previously conducted multiple large LIT token transfers, founder and CEO Vladimir Novakovski said during a Twitter Space session the transfers were not tied to an airdrop—they were instead to secure investor and team allocation funds. He also disclosed a universal collateral system will let users use L1 assets as collateral on Lighter, and the Lighter mobile app is set to launch in the coming weeks.
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Glassnode Analyst: Bitcoin Daily Unrealized Loss Reaches $300 Million, Loss Selling Behavior Shows No Significant Decline
On December 28th, Glassnode Chief Research Analyst CryptoVizArt noted in a post:
“After removing internal transactions and smoothing with a 90-day Simple Moving Average (90D SMA), current daily realized losses are approximately $300 million.”
“While Bitcoin’s price has held steady above its realized market value (around $81,000), loss-taking activity hasn’t seen a meaningful decline. That’s because buyers who entered at higher levels are frustrated with the time they’ve waited.”
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National Conference on Electric Power Engineering Cost and Quota Management: Actively Explore the Innovative Application of Frontier Technologies such as Artificial Intelligence, Blockchain, etc., in Cost Management
BEIJING, Dec. 26 (released Dec. 28, 2025) — The National Electricity Engineering Cost and Quota Management Work Conference convened in Beijing on Dec. 26.
In his address, An Hongguang, full-time Vice Chairman and Party Committee member of the China Electricity Council, fully recognized progress in electricity engineering cost and quota management during the 14th Five-Year Plan period.
Against the 15th Five-Year Plan’s blueprint for energy and power transformation and breakthroughs, he outlined three key requirements for future work:
1. First, forward-looking plans are needed to advance organic integration of quota systems for traditional power and emerging sectors, and establish a quota and cost standards framework aligned with the new power system.
2. Second, active exploration is required for innovative use of cutting-edge technologies (including AI and blockchain) in cost management, building a cross-domain, cross-entity cost data sharing mechanism, and accelerating digita
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Bitwise CIO: Bitcoin to See Steady Gains Over Next Decade, But Unlikely to Repeat Astounding Returns
December 28th (Cointelegraph) — Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated Bitcoin may deliver relatively steady returns over the next decade but is unlikely to see parabolic price surges.
Appearing on a CNBC show, Hougan noted: “I think we’re in a 10-year slowly upward-drifting bull market—strong returns, not extreme ones, more of a solid, lower-volatility performance with bumps along the way.”
He also reaffirmed his prior prediction that 2026 will be a big year for Bitcoin. The forecast was first made in July this year, when Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $125,100 in October. Hougan cited “rapidly moving retail investors” as one driver of Bitcoin’s year-end downturn, noting some retail traders chose to rotate early and take profits due to their expectations around the four-year cycle.
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A whale has accumulated 38,415.18 ETH since December 5, equivalent to around $119 million
On December 28, on-chain analyst Ai Auntie (@ai_9684xtpa) reported that a crypto whale has accumulated 38,415.18 ETH since December 5, with the holding valued at approximately $119 million as of the latest available data.
Just half an hour ago, the whale withdrew 3,997 ETH (worth ~$11.76 million) from OKX. The average cost basis of the 38,400 ETH holding stands at ~$3,111.38, resulting in an unrealized loss of $6.576 million to date.
Fifteen minutes prior, the whale also deposited 15.3 million USDT into the exchange. The address 0xce9...57c69 currently holds 41,523.24 staked ETH and has borrowed 69.82 million USDT.
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