SBF's Undeveloped Wealth: Holdings in Anthropic, SOL, Robinhood, etc. If Maintained Could Exceed $80 Billion
On February 13, it was reported that Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF)—founder of collapsed crypto exchange FTX—could have amassed over $800 billion if early-stage investments hadn’t been locked by asset freezes.
Among those holdings:
- SBF once invested $500 million in AI startup Anthropic. With generative AI’s rapid growth, that stake is now worth roughly $70 billion based on current valuations.
- He accumulated ~$60 million in SOL when the token traded around $8; at SOL’s all-time high market cap, that position would have peaked at ~$21 billion.
- A $100 million bet on Mysten Labs (developer of the Sui blockchain) now values the stake at over $8 billion.
- In traditional finance, SBF holds ~7.5% of Robinhood’s equity—worth around $10 billion based on the platform’s current market value.
However, after FTX’s 2022 collapse and ongoing legal proceedings, relevant assets have been seized by authorities. SBF was previously found to have misappropriated customer funds to fund high-ris
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Phrase: Fed Rate Cut Hinges on Second-Half Inflation Easing
Feb. 13 — Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management, noted the current environment isn’t yet sufficient to warrant a recent Federal Reserve rate cut.
Ongoing labor market strength gives policymakers cover to hold interest rates steady. As tariff impacts fade, further inflation slowdown in H2 should clear the way for looser monetary policy.
(Source: Golden Finance)
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Peter Brandt suggests Bitcoin may not have bottomed, unlikely to see a "real bottom" before October; predicts escalating market divergence
**February 13 Crypto Market Update: Analyst Insights & Polymarket Probabilities**
Veteran trader and technical analyst Peter Brandt—who correctly called the 2018 Bitcoin crash—says Bitcoin hasn’t hit its real bottom yet, noting the actual bottom might not arrive until October 2026. He’d earlier forecast Bitcoin could slide to the $60k range in Q3 2026; on February 6, Bitcoin briefly dipped to roughly $62,700.
Brandt adds: In the short term, prices could see upward swings but might still pull back to the $50k range this year.
Meanwhile, Arthur Hayes argues Ethereum’s price will likely trade sideways in its current range until U.S. dollar liquidity improves. As of press time, Ethereum trades at ~$1,941—down more than 40% over the past 30 days.
MN Trading Capital founder Micha?l van de Poppe counters, calling Ethereum now in an attractive accumulation zone. He notes stablecoin trading volume has jumped roughly 200% over the last 18 months.
**Polymarket Probability Data:**
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IREN to be Included in MSCI USA Index, Bringing Crypto Firm Back to Mainstream Equity Index System
On February 13, a second Bitcoin-focused firm followed Strategy in being added to a major U.S. stock index.
IREN Limited (NASDAQ: IREN) announced it will join the MSCI USA Index after the close of trading on February 27. The index covers large- and mid-cap U.S. stocks, representing roughly 85% of the U.S. free-float market capitalization. Inclusion typically brings automatic inflows from passive funds and increased visibility among institutional investors.
Previously, index provider MSCI had floated a proposal to exclude Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) companies where cryptocurrency makes up over 50% of their balance sheets. In response, Strategy publicly pushed back against the plan, calling the related suggestion "discriminatory, arbitrary, and unfeasible." Ultimately, MSCI opted not to exclude DAT firms, allowing Strategy to remain in its indexes.
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Goldman Sachs: Still Expects Fed to Cut Rates Twice This Year, Next Cut in June
On February 13, Lindsay Rosner—head of Multi-Sector Fixed Income Investments at Goldman Sachs Asset Management—said January’s CPI data came in weaker than expected, making the Fed’s “normalization” rate-cut path look more defined.
That clarity hinges on the labor market continuing to show improvement, as the FOMC is closely attuned to labor market weakness. We still anticipate the Fed will deliver two rate cuts this year, with the next one coming in June.
(Source: FXStreet)
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WSJ: Powell End-of-Term Faces Delicate Balance on Employment and Prices
On February 13, The Wall Street Journal analyzed the U.S. January CPI report, noting that year-over-year CPI rose 2.4% last month—below the prior reading and market expectations—while core CPI (excluding volatile food and energy) climbed 2.5% year-over-year, matching forecasts.
Earlier this week, the Non-Farm Payrolls report showed January’s job growth exceeded expectations, pushing the unemployment rate down to 4.3%.
While slower inflation and strong employment are positive signs, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell faces a delicate balance in the final months of his eight-year term: taming inflation without harming the labor market.
Aggressive rate hikes previously curbed the 2022 price surge, but as inflation eases and the labor market cools, the Fed has cut rates by nearly 2 percentage points since summer 2024 and paused its easing cycle in January. With growing signs of easing price pressures, economists widely expect further inflation moderation in 2026.
(Source: FXSt
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