Cantor Fitzgerald plans to open Kalshi prediction markets to its institutional clients.
According to a Wall Street Journal report, Cantor Fitzgerald plans to open its Kalshi prediction markets to roughly 3,000 institutional clients—including family offices and hedge funds—who will be able to trade contracts tied to events such as weather, commodities, and corporate performance. Susquehanna International Group will provide quotes and liquidity for these trades. Cantor will act as a broker, facilitating the purchase and sale of bulk event contracts for clients, and may distribute related positions to other investors via private negotiations. Pascal Bandelier, co-CEO of Cantor, noted that hedge funds have expressed interest in trading event contracts linked to iPhone sales, rather than betting on sales shifts indirectly through Apple’s stock price; family offices, meanwhile, are focused on using contracts tied to weather, crop yields, and oil prices for risk hedging. Joe Grubb, head of business development at Susquehanna Predictions, added that AI supply chain risks and computing power prices could also serve as use cases for the prediction markets. Institutional clients can also propose new market themes based on their needs, and the companies have discussed with investors the types of contracts they aim to launch. Kalshi has been ramping up its efforts to expand its institutional client base in recent months, completing its first bulk transaction this year and partnering with Interactive Brokers. Max Crowley, vice president of business development at Kalshi, stated that institutional demand for hedging against specific event risks is already in place.
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US pre-market trading saw mixed performance among semiconductor, storage, and optical communication stocks, with SKHY rising more than 4% and NOK gaining over 2%.
According to BIT (bit.com) market data, US pre-market trading for semiconductor, storage, and optical communication stocks showed mixed results. Most semiconductor stocks fell: Intel (INTC) dropped 1.23%, Marvell Technology declined 1.00%, Qualcomm (QCOM) fell 0.44%, and AMD slipped 0.37%; Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) gained 0.38% and NVIDIA (NVDA) rose 0.29%. The storage sector was mixed: SK Hynix (SKHY) advanced 4.40% and SanDisk (SNDK) climbed 0.80%; Micron Technology (MU) edged down 0.08%, Seagate Technology (STX) fell 0.19%, and Western Digital (WDC) dropped 0.44%. Most optical communication stocks rose: Nokia (NOK) jumped 2.13%, Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) increased 1.22%, and Ciena (CIEN) gained 0.73%; Marvell Technology (MRVL) slipped 1.00% and Corning (GLW) declined 0.88%.
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Analysis: SK Hynix's shareholder return plan exceeds expectations, with potential shareholder returns reaching up to 150 trillion won by 2027.
South Korea’s Meritz Securities analyst Kim Sun-woo noted that SK Hynix unveiled a shareholder return plan after market close on August 19, announcing it will repurchase and cancel 40 trillion won of its own shares within three months. The announcement came earlier than the company’s prior plan to release such news within the third quarter, and Kim Sun-woo believes the market may view the timing as a positive surprise. SK Hynix said the large-scale repurchase and cancellation decision stems from its view that its current share price does not fully reflect its business competitiveness and cash-generating ability. Additionally, the company plans to announce new base and special dividend policies at its third-quarter earnings briefing at the end of October. Meanwhile, SK Hynix has raised its shareholder return threshold from the previous “within 50% of free cash flow (FCF)” to “more than 50% of FCF”, and aims to introduce a capital reduction dividend policy next year. Meritz Securities forecasts SK Hynix’s 2027 FCF will reach 250 trillion to 300 trillion won, translating to a potential shareholder return scale of 125 trillion to 150 trillion won (roughly $89.9 billion to $107.9 billion). The plan exceeded expectations in three areas: announcement timing, management’s recognition of undervaluation, and outlook for subsequent policies, and is expected to drive the company to complete share repurchases intensively over the next three months to lift its share price.
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After staying dormant for four months, a whale address has re-entered the market to open a long position in SKHX worth nearly $5 million with 5x leverage.
According to monitoring by TradingBeats (formerly Hyperinsight), address 0x1008 opened a long position in xyz:SKHX at 18:14 today. The address’ average entry price for the position is $1,162.53, with a position value of roughly $4.98 million and a leverage ratio of 5x. The position currently holds a small floating profit of around $2,446, with its liquidation price set at $978.20.
Looking at historical trading preferences, the address was actively trading commodity CL contracts in April this year, with a total trading volume of $14.34 million, but exited the market with a small loss of $369,200. This new SKHX position marks its first large-scale involvement in the asset after four months of inactivity, potentially signaling it is starting to position for a new trading direction.
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