The probability on Polymarket of the "Sell Any Bitcoin by End of Year" strategy has surged to 90%.
On May 10, the probability linked to a Polymarket prediction market question—“Will Strategy sell any of its held Bitcoin before year-end?”—surged to 90%, up from just 12% on May 5.
Additionally, the odds of Strategy selling any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026, stand at 49%, while that figure rises to 75% for June 30, 2026.
Previously, Strategy founder Michael Saylor broke the company’s longstanding “never sell” stance for the first time. During the Q1 2026 earnings call livestream, he noted the firm may sell a portion of its Bitcoin holdings to fund dividends. “We might sell some Bitcoin to pay a dividend,” Saylor said, “with the key goal of desensitizing the market and signaling that we have indeed done so.”
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Current mainstream CEX and DEX funding rates show that BTC is still in a downtrend, while ETH sentiment is gradually improving and approaching neutral levels
**Crypto Market Update: May 10**
Per HTX market data, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $80,865.49, with a 24-hour price change of +0.58%. Ethereum (ETH) is at $2,330.88, up 0.52% over the same period.
### Funding Rate Sentiment
Mainstream centralized exchange (CEX) funding rates show:
- **BTC**: Most platforms have rates clustered **below 0.005%**, signaling persistent bearish sentiment.
- **ETH**: Rates have rebounded sharply—major platforms like Binance hover around 0.008%, while OKX hit exactly the 0.01% baseline. ETH has shifted away from prior bearishness but has not yet confirmed a valid bullish signal.
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**BlockBeats Note**:
Funding rates are set by crypto exchanges to keep perpetual contract prices aligned with underlying assets. They facilitate fund transfers between long and short traders (exchanges do not charge this fee), adjusting holding costs/profits to narrow contract-asset price gaps.
- **0.01% = baseline rate**
- **Above 0.01% = broad b
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Report: Coinbase and Kraken Account for 22% of US Crypto Industry AI Mentions, IBIT Leads Bitcoin ETF-related Responses
A May 10 market analysis report shows Coinbase and Kraken together account for 22% of all AI references in the cryptocurrency category—13% for Coinbase and 9% for Kraken—leading other U.S. exchanges by a three-to-one margin. Gemini ranks third at 5.5%, Robinhood Crypto fourth at 5%, and BlackRock’s bitcoin spot ETF IBIT fifth at 4.5%, while dominating searches related to "bitcoin ETF."
The analysis notes hardware wallets are losing influence in AI-generated responses. Though Ledger and Trezor still lead in searches for "best cryptocurrency wallets," AI now more often recommends custodial solutions from regulated exchanges when users ask about the "best crypto asset storage methods." The report argues the "self-custody narrative" that gained traction after the FTX collapse is no longer the dominant framework AI references.
Moreover, AI is rapidly reshaping the playing field for U.S. retail crypto finance brands: "When users ask ChatGPT where to buy Bitcoin, the platforms AI priori
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A US military F-35 fighter jet sent a distress signal over the Arabian Sea
May 10 — A U.S. Air Force F-35 Lightning II fighter jet transmitted the 7700 emergency code minutes ago while operating over the Arabian Sea, according to Iran’s Tasnim News Agency.
The 7700 code is a universal emergency signal for both civilian and military aircraft, signifying a critical situation (e.g., mechanical failure, medical emergency, or loss of control) that requires priority handling and may call for an immediate landing.
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Iranian Navy Commander: Indigenous Light Submarine on Alert in Strait of Hormuz
May 10 (local time) — Iranian Navy Commander Shahram Irani said an indigenously built Iranian light submarine is on standby in the Strait of Hormuz, ready to deploy and conduct relevant missions based on threat levels, combat capabilities, and operational requirements. (CCTV News)
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