If Bitcoin breaks through $86,000, the mainstream CEX aggregate short liquidation intensity will reach 9.12 billion

**December 15 Update** The U.S. labor market continues to cool: the unemployment rate has risen to 4.4%, hiring remains weak, and layoffs are steadily climbing—creating a "low hiring, low layoffs" stagnation. Economists warn that further deterioration in core industry employment could bring material downward pressure by 2026; the Federal Reserve has also flagged "significant downside risks" to the job market. Markets remain split on the "soft landing aftermath" and recession odds, but macro uncertainty is now a broad consensus. Bitcoin (BTC) is in a consolidation phase. Heavy liquidation pressure clusters around $90,144, $91,000, and $91,300—signaling elevated selling pressure and leverage risk during the rebound. The key downside support level is $87,500; a break below may trigger fresh passive deleveraging. Short-term price action is likely range-bound, awaiting clear cues from macro data and liquidity trends. **Bitunix Analyst Take** Synchronized employment and growth slo

December 15th Markets are on high alert this week, as a flurry of delayed economic data releases coincide with a broad market index rebalance—events that could spark volatility. The U.S. will publish the November jobs report and key inflation readings this week, which could either reinforce or push back against the Federal Reserve’s interest rate outlook for 2024. Fed officials cut rates for the third straight time last week, while noting that as rates near neutral levels, they may keep an open door to easing again next year. Also on tap: the U.S. November Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) expect the index to rise 3.1% year-over-year. Farzin Azarm, managing director of stock trading at Mizuho Securities USA, says the week’s biggest market event is what he calls “one of the largest annual clearing events.” Specifically, quarterly rebalances for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 will take place Friday, when index providers will a

As of December 15, Coinglass data shows centralized exchanges (CEXs) posted a net ETH outflow of 25,100 ETH over the past 7 days—down from 206,400 ETH in the prior week. The top three CEXs by ETH outflow: - Coinbase Pro: 11,200 ETH out - Binance: 4,652.85 ETH out - Kraken: 3,811 ETH out Separately, Gate led inflows with 415.60 ETH.

**December 15 — Per monitoring from PolyBeats, the market’s odds on “Will Tesla launch unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) by December 31?” have plummeted since the contract launched May 30: starting at a peak of 75%, they fell to just 7% as of the morning of December 14 Eastern Time.** **That shifted early December 14 Eastern Time, when multiple X users tweeted spotting a fully unmanned Tesla Model Y Robotaxi operating autonomously in Austin, Texas. Shortly after, Tesla AI lead Ashok Elluswamy retweeted the video with the comment “And so it begins!”—a signal the market interpreted as Tesla nearing an unsupervised FSD release.** **Driven by the news, the probability surged nearly 8x, hitting a peak of 54% before settling at 24% currently.** **During the surge, one user—sango—stood out as suspicious: they could have locked in over 200% profits but held their position. Sango began buying “yes” contracts for this market three months ago, with an average entry price of 17 cents a

On December 15, spot gold jumped 1.00% intraday and was last trading at $4,343.39 per ounce.

As of December 15th, F2pool data shows the Bitcoin network’s total hashrate currently stands at 988.49 EH/s — a 17.25% drop from the same time last week.