JPMorgan: CoreWeave’s business model is sound, and market concerns over its debt and cash burn may be overblown.
1 hours ago
According to Bloomberg, JPMorgan analysts noted that investor concerns over CoreWeave’s rising debt and rapid cash burn may be overblown, with the company’s financing needs stemming from its rapid expansion rather than poor economic performance of individual projects. Earlier, rising bond yields amplified market worries about its debt-fueled expansion, leading the firm’s stock to drop around 20% last week. JPMorgan believes CoreWeave’s business model remains solid, with strong demand for computing power, and long-term "take-or-pay" contracts can lock in customers before new production capacity comes online. Per its calculations, the unleveraged internal rate of return (IRR) for a typical 5-year contract is around 15%, higher than the company’s estimated weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 9% to 11%; GPU re-signings after contract expiration can also generate additional revenue. However, aggressive expansion is expected to continue pressuring short-term cash flow. The bank estimates that every 1 gigawatt (GW) of fully operational capacity can generate $10 billion to $15 billion in annual revenue, but adding 1 GW of capacity requires over $35 billion in upfront capital expenditure. The company may not be able to fund its expansion with cash from existing operations until 2030.
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