Analysis: Overall Bitcoin buyers are still sitting on unrealized losses in 2025, with $88,000 emerging as a key resistance level.
2026.10.07 19:37:22
Investors who bought Bitcoin in 2025 are the only annual buying cohort still holding an overall unrealized loss, with an average cost of roughly $88,000. Bitcoin hit $87,500 in September, then consolidated before falling back below $84,000 on Wednesday. As some more recent buyers may choose to sell once they break even, $88,000 could act as a key resistance level. Annual volume-weighted average cost (VWAP) has repeatedly functioned as either support or resistance in this cycle. Bitcoin rose to around $82,100 in May, hitting the average cost of the 2024 buying cohort and stalling, before dropping to $60,000 and only breaking that level in August. The 2023 buying cohort currently has an average cost of roughly $65,000, which largely acted as support during the 2026 bear market, though prices briefly dipped below it. The 2026 buying cohort’s average cost is around $73,500; since Bitcoin broke above that level in late August, most investors in this group have been in profit. The average cost of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF holdings is roughly $82,300, with investors in these products only recently returning to overall profitability for the first time this year, and this level could serve as support during any further price pullbacks.
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