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Analyst: Bitcoin's current price is undergoing a "healthy" consolidation phase, rather than the start of a bear market

2025.03.25 10:32:22

On March 25th, Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. stated that, according to on-chain indicators, the current price cycle indicates a healthy consolidation phase rather than the onset of a bear market. Adler Jr. pointed out that BTC has not yet entered an "overheated" zone in this cycle, which can be observed from BTC's investor price model. This indicator has issued sell signals twice in 2021, and the model integrates data such as the realized cap, investor price, and Bitcoin supply. By using the Cumulative Value-Days Destroyed (CVDD) indicator of Bitcoin, Adler believes that the market is still in a "growth phase." The CVDD indicator is used to monitor the selling activity of long-term holders. Only one sell signal has been triggered so far in this bull market, dating back to March 2024. In a Substack article, Adler stated: "Given the current market dynamics, once Bitcoin breaks a key peak level ($123,000), there may be profit-taking by veteran investors, which will put downward pressure on the price." Based on the above analysis, Adler Jr. predicts that Bitcoin may reach $130,000 within 90 days. (Cointelegraph)
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