US Treasury market volatility is at a historic high, marking the third-largest weekly increase since the 2022 bear market.
51 minutes ago
U.S. Treasury market volatility has reached historic highs. The MOVE Index, a gauge of Treasury market volatility, jumped 19% last week, marking its largest single-week gain since the "Liberation Day" in April 2025. Dubbed the "bond market’s VIX", the index tracks yield volatility of 2-year, 5-year, 10-year, and 30-year U.S. Treasuries, representing its third-largest single-week increase since the 2022 bear market. Over the same period, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 17 basis points last week to 5.17%, its highest level since June 2007. The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed 16 basis points to break above 5.50%, a first since June 2004. For context, during the week of March 17, 2023—after three regional banks collapsed amid the U.S. banking crisis—the MOVE Index surged 29% in a single week. The current U.S. Treasury market is experiencing near-crisis-level volatility.
Spot silver fell below $62 per ounce, down 3.6% on the day.
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Paid: X Money payments are currently suspended.
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The yield spread between the 2-year and 10-year US Treasuries has narrowed to 17 basis points, approaching inversion, a pattern that has preceded each of the past 8 recessions.
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Spot gold and silver both declined. Gold is quoted at $4,215 per ounce, down 1.65% over 24 hours.
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