TD Securities: The Federal Reserve is expected to launch its interest rate hike cycle in September, with three rate hikes projected for this round.
41 minutes ago
TD Securities strategists said they now expect the Federal Reserve to kick off the first of three rate hikes in September, a shift from their prior forecast that the central bank would hold rates steady through the rest of 2026. Strategists including Oscar Munoz and Gennadiy Goldberg wrote in a daily research note: "We expect a total of three rate hikes in this cycle, with the next two increases coming in October and January next year. The Fed may not provide forward guidance, but the dot plot is likely to lean hawkish." The adjustment in expectations came after U.S. August CPI data released Friday came in hotter than expected, prompting traders to price in higher near-term rate hikes from the Fed. The strategists added in the note: "After August CPI showed a lack of progress in taming inflation, we now expect the Fed to launch its rate hike cycle in September."
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