Morgan Stanley: The Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady despite Walsh’s hawkish signals.
1 hours ago
Morgan Stanley forecasts that despite Federal Reserve Chair Christopher Waller’s hawkish signals at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, the U.S. central bank will hold interest rates steady. Current inflation data may provide the Fed with justification to stay patient. The bank projects August’s core CPI will rise 0.23% month-on-month, while core PCE will increase 0.20% month-on-month. Moreover, revisions to PCE data could pull core PCE’s year-on-year growth from 3.3% to roughly 3.1%, further backing a pause in interest rate adjustments. Waller’s hawkish remarks are more likely intended to preserve policy flexibility rather than hint at an imminent new rate hike cycle.
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