Ahead of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy decision, traders are highly vigilant against intervention risks, with Silver Week potentially serving as the window for such action.
1 hours ago
With the Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy decision looming, yen traders are bracing for possible fresh foreign exchange intervention by Japanese authorities. As the BOJ’s announcement will be followed by a three-day holiday, market watchers believe authorities could act during the low-liquidity holiday window. The yen extended its Wednesday gains on Thursday, underscoring market nervousness ahead of the BOJ’s September 18 policy meeting, where a rate hike is broadly priced in. In April this year, Japanese authorities waited until a domestic holiday to conduct their first intervention since 2024. Now, investors are speculating Japan may use a similar tactic during the "Silver Week" holiday, which kicks off shortly after the BOJ meeting. Commonwealth Bank of Australia strategist Samara Hamoud noted: "Silver Week could further amplify uncertainty around yen moves, primarily because market liquidity tends to decline even more during holidays. Over time, USD/JPY may retest the previous highs that triggered intervention. If this occurs quickly, especially around the BOJ meeting, the risk of further intervention will rise significantly."
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