Perspective: August CPI will be a make-or-break factor for the September interest rate decision, as the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rhetoric has surged sharply.
1 hours ago
Wall Street's so-called "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos said that Fed Chair Walsh delivered clear hawkish signals at last week's annual global central bank conference, noting that current financial conditions are hardly restrictive, and recent improvements in inflation are insufficient to prove underlying price pressures have materially eased. As a result, markets have lifted their expectations for a September rate hike by the Fed, with some institutions even forecasting one rate hike each in September and December this year. Timiraos pointed out that the August CPI data, set to be released on September 11, will be a key determinant of the Fed's September policy path. If inflation continues to cool, the Fed may have reason to hold interest rates steady; however, if CPI rebounds sharply, Walsh will face greater policy pressure, and keeping rates unchanged would be hard to justify. Meanwhile, the hawk-dove divide within the Fed has intensified. Three officials dissented at the last FOMC meeting, while other officials openly supported rate hikes. Markets are currently closely monitoring inflation data, as well as whether tariffs, Middle East tensions and the AI investment boom will further fuel price pressures.
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4 minutes ago
WTI and Brent crude oil both rose more than 3% on the day.
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Bitcoin holds above $78,000, the Japanese yen falls below the 160 threshold, and a strengthening US dollar continues to weigh on the crypto market.
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4 minutes ago
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