Ahead of NVIDIA’s earnings report, the period has become a key test for the AI sector, as the company faces notable pressure from the "expectation premium".
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Nvidia will release its latest financial results after U.S. stock market trading hours on Wednesday, with its performance seen by the market as a key barometer of overall AI sector trading momentum. FactSet data shows Wall Street analysts expect Nvidia’s second-quarter revenue to exceed $92 billion, while the market projects its third-quarter revenue to hit around $103.7 billion. Analysts note that Nvidia has consistently beaten expectations on multiple core metrics over the past year, but with market expectations already at elevated levels, the company faces noticeable "expectation premium" pressure. Investors are also closely monitoring its reliance on major cloud service providers including Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Key focus areas of the earnings report include the performance of its data center business—particularly the shipment and demand for Blackwell architecture products, gross margin, next-quarter guidance, and updates on sales in the Chinese market. Nvidia’s stock fell 2.9% on Monday, marking its longest consecutive losing streak since 2022, before rebounding 2.2% on Tuesday. Market participants believe this earnings report and future performance guidance will act as a key catalyst for the next phase of the AI sector’s trajectory.
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