Fu Peng: The U.S. and Japan jointly intervened to push down U.S. Treasury yields, providing valuation support for large tech and AI companies with strong cash flow.
2026.08.20 11:14:00
Chief Economist Fu Peng of Xinhuo Group noted that recent joint U.S.-Japan exchange rate intervention has pre-emptively defused the risk of Japan potentially offloading large volumes of U.S. Treasuries, avoiding pressure on long-dated U.S. government bonds. This has caused the scale of long-term Treasury repurchase operations to double, precisely targeting summer short sellers and forcibly suppressing long-term yields and term premiums. Fu Peng believes the U.S.-Japan intervention aims to prevent a debt interest spiral from triggering a collateral liquidity crisis. The joint intervention, paired with hot money inflows, has left short-term rates pegged while long-term rates are artificially suppressed, leading to a significant flattening of the yield curve. Lowered 10-year and 30-year rates provide valuation support for large tech and AI companies with strong cash flow, while reducing the appeal of overseas carry trades and weakening foreign demand for long-dated U.S. Treasuries.
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