Preview of the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: Inflation Concerns and Policy Divisions Take Center Stage

During the weekend closure of traditional markets, Trade.xyz – dubbed the "on-chain Nasdaq" – enables continuous trading and real-time price discovery via perpetual contracts, pricing in advance for Monday’s U.S. and South Korean stock sessions. Most popular U.S. stocks on Trade.xyz are trading lower than their Friday closing prices, signaling an overall small pre-market opening dip on Monday: SanDisk (SNDK) is currently at $1761.75, down 1.68% from Friday’s close of $1791.82; Marvell Technology (MRVL) stands at $240.79, down 1.42% from Friday’s $244.25; Micron (MU) is at $1001.85, down 1.37% from Friday’s $1015.8; AMD is at $554.09, down 1.02% from Friday’s $559.82; NVIDIA is at $220.49, down 0.80% from Friday’s $222.27; Google is at $349.53, nearly flat from Friday’s $349.54; Intel is at $109.81, up 1.11% from Friday’s $108.6. All popular South Korean stocks on Trade.xyz are trading slightly lower than their Friday closing prices, pointing to small opening dips for Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix on Monday: Samsung Electronics is at $187.26, down 0.62% from Friday’s $188.42; SK Hynix is at $1332.95, down 0.53% from Friday’s $1340.

Fed’s Kashkari stated that the U.S. Federal Reserve’s task is to bring inflation back to its 2% target. Inflation remains too high, and it is not solely driven by oil price factors.

According to Coinglass data, Coinbase’s Bitcoin Premium Index has turned negative again, now standing at -0.0198% (compared to 0.0013% yesterday), as buying sentiment in the U.S. market has slumped once more. BlockBeats Note: The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index measures the gap between Bitcoin prices on Coinbase, a leading U.S. crypto exchange, and the global average market price. It is a key indicator for monitoring U.S. market capital flows, institutional investment activity, and shifts in market sentiment. A positive premium indicates Coinbase’s Bitcoin price is higher than the global average, typically signaling strong buying demand in the U.S. market, active inflows of institutional or compliant capital, ample U.S. dollar liquidity, and generally optimistic investment sentiment. A negative premium means Coinbase’s Bitcoin price is lower than the global average, usually reflecting heavy selling pressure in the U.S. market, declining investor risk appetite, rising market risk aversion, or capital outflows.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the U.S. dollar remains on one side of 89.2% of global foreign exchange transactions, foreign investors continue to hold large amounts of U.S. assets, and major stablecoins are also denominated in U.S. dollars—relevant data does not support the claim that capital is fleeing the U.S. Bessent said the U.S. Treasury’s repurchase of Treasury bonds aims to increase market liquidity and manage the debt maturity structure, not to control the $30+ trillion U.S. Treasury market. If investors were truly unwilling to buy U.S. Treasuries, actual bid data would reflect that, but demand for U.S. assets from foreign funds remains strong. Norway is merely shifting some of its U.S. Treasury allocations to agency debt, and its holdings still fall under U.S. assets; the Netherlands repatriating gold from North American regions including New York and Ottawa reflects its preference for domestic asset custody. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta projects the U.S. real GDP annualized growth rate for the third quarter to be 5.1%. The latest data also shows continued employment growth, sustained expansion in corporate investment and capital expenditure, with equipment investment in the second quarter of 2026 rising nearly 20% compared to the end of the Biden administration. Bessent criticized The New York Times for selectively ignoring data that contradicts its narrative, adding that complex financial realities should not be oversimplified to serve pre-established positions.

US President Trump said he may be open to meeting with the Iranian President, noting that some major events could happen in the near future. (Jinshi)

Renowned trader Killa said the "everything is priced in" chart tracks major catalysts across Bitcoin’s cycles and their post-event price behavior. He noted that during bear markets, negative news typically pushes BTC lower, leading traders to develop an inertia of shorting on any bearish headlines. But once high-timeframe trends shift, the same news may only spark temporary panic, after which Bitcoin absorbs selling pressure and resumes its rally. Recent market events include the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike, expectations around the CLARITY Act vote, and the bill’s failure to advance. Markets initially viewed these as reasons for Bitcoin to drop further, but BTC only briefly broke below its range low before bouncing back quickly, showing strong resilience. Even as narratives of a "third world war" gained traction, Bitcoin began reacting relatively positively to panic-inducing factors. Killa highlighted this performance as a key distinction between bull and bear markets: in bear markets, bad news drives prices down, while in bull markets, negative headlines may trigger trader capitulation, after which prices continue rising. He added that the key catalyst that confirmed the last cycle’s uptrend was the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, and this cycle’s equivalent catalyst could be the CLARITY Act. Bitcoin’s recent ability to digest multiple bearish factors is a key basis for his judgment that the trend has shifted.