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QCP Capital: Macro Volatility has Slightly Eased, Fed Policy Shift Could Be Bitcoin Upside Catalyst

9 hours ago

On March 18th, QCP Capital's most recent analysis indicated that although the probability of a Fed rate cut this Wednesday is extremely low, any dovish signal from Powell has the potential to act as a catalyst for the upward momentum of Bitcoin. As the US shifts from "fiscal dominance" (government spending-driven growth) to Trump-led deficit reduction, the policy burden is shifting back to monetary policy. While QCP does not anticipate a surprise rate cut from the Fed, a dovish signal could trigger market momentum. Macro volatility has eased somewhat, with the VIX index dropping to around 20, and Bitcoin's volatility has also decreased, currently fluctuating within the range of $80,000 to $85,000. In the absence of new tariff news, geopolitics has once again come into focus. Gold prices have broken through $3,000, while Bitcoin continues to exhibit a negative correlation. Historically, cryptocurrency prices have often lagged behind changes in global liquidity conditions. With the possible policy shift of the Fed and a new round of stimulus measures from Europe and China, Bitcoin may witness a new uptrend after this adjustment.
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