Analysis: Bitcoin is in the "extreme discount" zone of the Rainbow Chart, with its downward deviation surpassing that of the previous bear market bottom.
2026.08.15 22:22:48
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. noted in a post that Bitcoin is currently trading in the lowest range of the Rainbow Chart model — "basically a fire sale price". This represents an extreme discount relative to the cryptocurrency’s long-term price trajectory, and is not merely a measure of how much Bitcoin has declined. The Rainbow Chart model compares Bitcoin’s current price to its long-term trend, so the gap reflects the market’s deviation from historical patterns. The volatility-adjusted Z-Score now stands at -2.293, the lowest reading since 2016 and lower than the -1.979 recorded at the 2022 bear market bottom. This metric accounts for volatility differences across distinct market cycles, meaning the current downward deviation from the model is more severe than that seen at the last bear market’s trough. Bitcoin is now in an extreme discount zone, with the volatility-adjusted Z-Score hitting a 10-year low. This signals significant undervaluation relative to the model, but it does not alone confirm the final market bottom. Extremely low valuations point to a potentially attractive entry range, though a market reversal would need separate confirmation. Note: The Z-Score is a widely used standardized statistical metric that quantifies how far a data point lies from the mean, measured in units of standard deviation.
Cursor Extension Store Poisoned: SSH Backdoor Implanted in Claude Code, Affecting Up to 5,000 Users
2 minutes ago
A whale closed long positions in BTC and ETH, locking in a profit of $17.78 million, then opened a short position of 20,000 ETH.
2 minutes ago
Metaplanet CEO voices support for Binance: The Bitcoin network remains unaffected by this incident, and all of the company’s Bitcoin (BTC) is held in cold storage at regulated custodian institutions.
2 minutes ago
Trader Loracle added short positions totaling around $48.4 million in altcoins and tech stocks today.
2 minutes ago
Binance: Subsequent investigations have uncovered additional breach points, with fund withdrawals expected to resume in approximately 45 hours.
2 minutes ago
Pundi X has frozen all stolen PUNDIX tokens from the Binance attack, totaling approximately $365,500.
2 minutes ago
Hot feeds
A trader profits $448K by monitoring #Binance's new listings!
2024.12.13 17:37:29
Last week, funds have flowed into #Bitcoin, #Ethereum, and #Hyperliquid.
2024.12.16 14:48:36
A $PEPE whale that had been dormant for 600 days transferred all 2.1T $PEPE($52M) to a new address.
2024.12.14 10:35:27
When Elon Musk tweeted about Moltbook, the meme coin MOLT experienced a short-term 30% price surge, hitting a new all-time high of $114 million.
2026.01.31 18:37:29
A smart #AI coin trader made $17.6M on $GOAT, $ai16z, $Fartcoin,$arc.
2025.01.05 16:05:18
A sniper earned 2,277 $ETH ($8.3M) trading $SHIRO within 18 hours!
2024.12.03 23:09:08
MoreHot Articles

How did I turn $1,000 into $30,000 with smart money?
2024.12.09

10 promising AI Agent cryptos
2024.12.05

The 30-Year-Old Entrepreneur Behind Virtual, a Multi-Million Dollar AI Agent Society
2025.01.22

10 smart traders specializing in MEMEcoin trading on Solana
2024.12.09

A trader lost $73.9K trading memecoins in just 3 minutes — a lesson for us all!
2024.12.13

What is $SPORE? Let us take you through the on-chain records to show you how it works.
2024.12.25

