Analysis: Bitcoin's short-term panic sentiment has eased, with the $60,000 to $70,000 range emerging as a key battleground.
59 minutes ago
Glassnode stated in a report that Bitcoin’s native options market remains generally sluggish overall, with implied volatility (IV) and skewness continuing to narrow, while positions are gradually concentrating around key strike prices, making the options market structure more distinct. Data shows Bitcoin’s short-dated IV has continued to decline, with the 1-period at-the-money (ATM) IV dropping to around 26%, while the 6-month tenor remains at roughly 39%. The term structure has steepened further, indicating traders’ low expectations for short-term price volatility, while still pricing in longer-term uncertainty. Demand for downside protection in the market has weakened, and overall option positions are no longer as defensive as they were previously. On the gamma exposure front, negative gamma is primarily concentrated in the lower $60,000 range, while positive gamma has gradually shifted to around $70,000. This means BTC is more likely to see larger price swings during downward moves, while upward approaches to the $70,000 level may be stabilized by market maker hedging. The options market’s defensive posture has eased somewhat, though it has not yet entered excessive complacency. The decline in implied volatility and skewness reflects easing short-term panic, while the concentration of gamma and strike positions indicates that the $60,000 to $70,000 range remains the key zone for Bitcoin’s next directional move.
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