US-Iran tensions stoke inflation fears, with US and European mortgage rates surging across the board, putting renewed pressure on housing markets.
53 minutes ago
The average rate on 30-year fixed mortgages in the U.S. rose to 6.67% this week, hitting its highest level in over a year, up from 6.43% in early July and 5.98% before the outbreak of the U.S.-Iran conflict. The recent rise in the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds is one of the key factors driving the increase in mortgage rates. As a result, the average monthly mortgage payment for a typical U.S. home has risen by nearly $150 since the start of the year. In the UK, the average rate on 5-year fixed mortgages climbed to 5.66% in July, marking its first month-over-month increase since April. Germany’s 10-year fixed mortgage rate rose from 3.3% in early July to 3.7% this week, while France’s 10-year fixed mortgage rate increased from 3.02% in June to 3.15% in July. Market analysts note that the U.S.-Iran conflict has pushed up oil and energy prices, stoking concerns about a resurgence in inflation and driving up financing costs including U.S. Treasury yields and UK swap rates. High interest rates are further dampening real estate transactions in Europe and the U.S. The "low-rate lock-in effect" persists in the U.S. market, while signed home purchase agreements in the UK fell by nearly 10% year-on-year in July.
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