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JPMorgan previews tonight’s CPI: As long as it does not exceed 0.25%, the market can rally with confidence.

1 hours ago

JPMorgan’s trading desk has released a new scenario analysis for tonight’s CPI data, showing that if core CPI comes in at 0.15%–0.20%, the S&P 500 is projected to rise roughly 0.5%–1%; even in the benchmark range of 0.20%–0.25%, it still forecasts a gain of about 0.25%–0.75%. However, JPMorgan projects that if core CPI lands between 0.25% and 0.30%, the S&P 500 could drop roughly 0.5%–1.25%.

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