A prominent trader has noted that Bitcoin has completed its five-wave adjustment, with the technical structure indicating a potential bottom may have formed.

Renowned trader Killa (@KillaXBT) published an analysis noting that Bitcoin’s historical bear markets typically complete a 5-wave correction and form two key peaks. The first peak often occurs during the first sharp rebound after the market top—this is the "complacency peak" where the market widely believes a bull market has returned—after which prices usually go on to hit new lows. He points out that a similar structure has been observed in the 2014, 2022, and 2026 cycles. After the complacency peak forms, the market typically sees a "dead cat bounce" that establishes a temporary bottom; as market sentiment worsens and short positions become concentrated, a short squeeze then drives a price rebound, with the final bottom usually forming after a second key retest. Killa argues that BTC has now swept through the bottom formed by the dead cat bounce and completed a 5-wave correction structure similar to past cycles. From a structural perspective, the correction wave is complete, and the low point may already be in place. However, he remains cautious about the timeline: past bear markets typically lasted around 365 days to form their final bottom, but if the current cycle’s low has already emerged, it has only taken roughly 260 days—about 100 days ahead of historical timelines. He currently holds a 50/50 outlook, but believes the likelihood of a higher low forming next is greater than that of a significant new low.