Lookonchain APP

App Store

Analysis: Strategy’s liquidity issues have improved, but a systematic framework for Bitcoin trading still needs to be established.

2026.07.18 13:28:20

CryptoQuant Research Head Julio Moreno said Strategy’s newly launched digital credit capital framework has largely resolved the company’s short-term liquidity issues, though a more disciplined Bitcoin buy-and-sell mechanism still needs to be established. CryptoQuant noted that since the new framework was announced, Strategy has sold 3,588 BTC (worth approximately $216 million) to replenish its dollar reserves and raised $466.7 million by selling MSTR stock, lifting its dollar reserves from $1.44 billion to around $3 billion. The preferred dividend coverage period has also risen from roughly 14 months to 29 months. As of now, the company’s Bitcoin holdings remain unchanged at 843,775 BTC. However, CryptoQuant believes Strategy has yet to resolve two critical issues: First, when it will resume Bitcoin purchases, as the current framework only regulates financing methods and lacks a valuation-based systematic position-building model, leaving it at risk of repeating the “continuous high-price buying” scenario in the future. Second, how to sell a portion of its Bitcoin during the next bull market; the existing framework allows BTC sales to replenish reserves, pay dividends, and repurchase shares, but no long-term capital management strategy has been developed for phased position reduction or risk hedging at cyclical peaks. CryptoQuant stated that establishing trading discipline spanning bull and bear market cycles will be a core component of Strategy’s active capital management system.

Relevant content

U.S. economic and inflation data challenge Walsh’s claim that the economy is "not yet overheated", as economists warn of risks of further interest rate hikes.

U.S. real GDP rose at an annualized quarterly rate of 3.4% in the third quarter, exceeding market expectations, with consumer spending and business equipment investment increasing by 3.8% and 20.9% respectively. The September PCE price index rose 3.6% year-on-year, up from August’s 3.4%. The robust growth and persistent inflation pose a challenge to Federal Reserve Chair Waller’s assessment that the economy is not overheating. This week, the Federal Reserve voted 10 to 2 to hold interest rates steady at 3.75% to 4%. Waller argued that technological advances like AI could boost productivity, so faster growth alone does not mean inflationary pressures are rising. As of Friday, market pricing indicated an approximately 80% chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike in December. KPMG chief economist Diane Swonk noted that inflation remains widespread, particularly concentrated in the services sector which is slower to respond to interest rate changes, and it’s unclear whether the modest cooling will ease its stickiness. She warned that tighter financial conditions stem in part from market expectations of future rate hikes, and actual policy action is still needed to address this. BNY Investments chief economist Vincent Reinhart projected that the Fed still needs two more rate hikes, and there is a risk of additional hikes amid elevated oil prices.

2 minutes ago

Prominent trader Killa: Binance hack incident could mark the market bottom, still bullish on the market outlook.

Renowned trader Killa posted that the collapse of FTX marked the market bottom, and the Binance hack would do the same. He noted the market may take some time to digest temporary shocks and rebalance, but remains bullish on the longer-term market outlook. Killa argues that driving a significant price rally is more conducive to recouping losses than letting prices continue to fall, and expects Binance to take corresponding actions. He added that Binance holds billions of dollars in Bitcoin, giving it the financial capacity to build billions of dollars in long positions that may not be visible to retail investors. Additionally, he speculates that Binance may have generated around $1 billion in profits from liquidations, slippage, and trading fees.

2 minutes ago

BlackRock transfers 37,470 ETH to Coinbase Prime, valued at around $83.3 million.

According to monitoring by Onchain Lens, BlackRock transferred 37,470 ETH (valued at approximately $83.3 million) from its ETF wallet to Coinbase Prime.

2 minutes ago

BNB Chain: Its network and bridge contracts were not affected by the Binance security incident, and on-chain funds remain safe.

According to an official statement from BNB Chain, BNB Smart Chain, opBNB, BNB Greenfield, and BNB Chain’s bridge contracts were not impacted by the recent Binance security incident, with all services running normally. On-chain funds on the network remain secure. BNB Chain stated it will support Binance and the team that has been addressing the security incident since last night. It emphasized that security and industry trust require collective efforts from all parties, and it will continue collaborating with ecosystem partners to safeguard this shared trust.

2 minutes ago

Analysis: Binance is currently replenishing its holdings of stolen altcoins, and may purchase tokens including XRP, SOL, UNI and others.

According to Binance CEO He Yi’s disclosure, Binance is acquiring altcoins that exactly match its stolen assets via over-the-counter (OTC) and on-exchange trading to complete its Proof of Reserves (PoR) process, and will update on progress once purchases are finalized. Combined with this statement and the already disclosed stolen asset records, these include 233.46 million XRP (valued at ~$296 million), 970,500 SOL (~$96 million), and 46.4 million TRX (~$16 million). Additionally, the hacker has dumped seven tokens—UNI, ENA, PEPE, LINK, AAVE, ONDO, WLD—converting them into 70,480 ETH for a total transaction value of ~$158.25 million. The dump amounts for UNI, ENA, PEPE, and LINK stand at ~$39.63 million, ~$33.93 million, ~$31.66 million, and ~$26.05 million respectively. Other stolen assets also include 74.56 million ARB (~$11.54 million), 714.911 million FUN (~$6.29 million), 87.853 million ZAMA (~$6.02 million), 3.602 million ZRO (~$5.69 million), and 3.382 billion RSR (~$5.02 million).

2 minutes ago

Synthetix: Has recovered the SNX tokens stolen from Binance, and will return them upon request.

Synthetix issued a statement noting that the SNX tokens stolen from Binance have been recovered by the Synthetix Protocol DAO, and are now safely held in the Protocol DAO’s Safe wallet. The protocol added that it has notified Binance, and will return the relevant tokens once it receives Binance’s request.

2 minutes ago

Popular tokens

BitcoinEthereumHyperliquidSolanaTRONBNBTetherAaveXRPPepeFartcoinOndoJupiterUniswapBonkPendleEthenaArbitrumAvalancheLidoChainlinkPolygonDogecoinCardano